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xero90

05/13/12 10:09 AM

#1744 RE: True Blue #1743

You're correct. At one point there will be divergence from the Comex. Backwardation occurs when there are too few sellers of the physical commodity to accommodate all of the actual buyers, so a near-premium develops to compensate the sellers willing to part with metal in return for taking delivery later. Spot at 26 may be the point all hell breaks loose.