InvestorsHub Logo
icon url

NikolaiKozlov

05/03/12 12:48 AM

#95106 RE: 10452km2 #95104

I'm definitely going to mark this post and hold you to it in the slightly greater than every other IHUB-posted scenario I've heard (0.0001%) chance it happens

I'm only in for $2500 right now. It's what I got. $100K would be sweet.
icon url

NikolaiKozlov

05/04/12 1:05 AM

#95363 RE: 10452km2 #95104

More FB DD: I really hope I get the chance to see if you're a man of his word. I may just be able to pay for pharmacy school after all... Either way I'll be walking out of this stock far better off.

Another Interesting, Great (fits our situation almost perfectly, but "not at all concrete") DD find:

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/03/small-investors-may-get-to-own-a-bit-of-facebook/

Here's the parts of the article I want to talk about:

Facebook, which plans to make a market debut this month that could value it at $86 billion, is the stock that everyone seems to want.

If you are a small investor, lots of luck. Typically, shares of the hottest initial public offerings go almost entirely to the biggest clients of the Wall Street banks that oversee the stock sale. And no I.P.O. is as big or as eagerly awaited this year as Facebook’s.

Yet there may be a sliver of hope. Facebook’s executives and underwriters have discussed raising the number of shares that will go to retail investors, say people briefed on the matter who were not authorized to speak on the record. It is not known how much will eventually go to these mom-and-pop investors, but Wall Street executives estimate that the retail share could be as much as 20 to 25 percent of the offering.

.....

Facebook executives will meet in New York with the sales forces of its banks on Friday to brief them on the I.P.O. presentation, according to one of the people with knowledge of the matter.

The company is seeking to give retail investors a bigger cut because it sees itself as a service created for, and driven by, consumers. One person briefed on the offering, who declined to be identified because of regulatory restrictions, said Facebook sees itself as “the people’s company.”

......

How those shares are allotted is part of a choreographed series of events that takes place over several months before the market debut. A regulatory filing that describes the company’s business to investors starts the process. The company also selects a team of underwriters.

In the case of Facebook, the social networking giant tapped Morgan Stanley to lead the public offering, followed by JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs.

In what is known as a road show, these underwriters take the company’s executives out to meet big institutional investors, who take the opportunity to quiz company executives. Demand to attend the Facebook presentations has been extraordinarily high, with underwriters already drawing up waiting lists for the meetings, according to two people briefed on the matter.

......

One Wall Street broker, who declined to be named, citing his firm’s policy against speaking to the media, said that financial advisers who specialize in initial public offerings will also be at the top of the list of brokers getting a Facebook allocation.

......

In the case of an Internet I.P.O., he said: “Branch managers should also look at whether the account holds high-growth technology stocks and is accustomed to that type of investment.”



SPECULATION and POINTS

1. Look at the anonymity of the people this article is citing. It makes it sound like insiders are scared poopless of FB finding out about them talking to the media. There is far more regulatory red tape involved in this huge IPO than we could possible understand. It sure sounds like Facebook is cracking the whip on anyone on the inside to keep them from leaking. Another very good possible non-criminal connection to our news blackout. I'd be so scared of losing my deal with Facebook that'd I'd sow my own mouth shut if they told me to!!

2. The meeting today in New York would be a good time for someone to visit the Atrinsic office and see what words are being thrown around. Anyone got time today??

3. the mention of "high-growth technology stocks" makes me smile!!

4. the "several months" of planning for this debut is consistent with our news blackout situation as well.

Dissect away, like I've said before I'm just grasping at straws. GLTA!!! I'm feeling May 18th more and more and more! ATRN!!!