Replies to post #3402 on Investing in Timber

[a1derfullife]

Abn; Since you have not provided detailed $ amounts,

I was able to get some numbers from another tree owner.

This tree owner had ~ 40 trees left per original 100 trees planted, and received ~ $2000 dollars per original 100 trees - less than the tree owner originally paid many years ago. This works out to $50/tree. The amount paid to the tree owner is only ~ 12% of what is projected on TATF's website for the current value trees of this age, and only ~ 35% of my estimate for the true market value of the trees (so not only is TATF overstating the current value of its trees by a factor of ~ 3, they only paid tree owners ~ 1/3 of the actual value of the trees they cut).

Another possibility is that TATF paid tree owners a reasonable price for the trees, but that the trees only contained 1/3 as much wood as the projections on TATF's website project they should have at this age.

A1