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Breakout

02/25/12 2:37 PM

#4476 RE: nerachal #4475

I like it. It started it down trend 17.50 thru the 16.47 candle. That your primary downtrend line and if you draw a line touch those to down to todays date you will find that line hit at the current 100ma. That you primary decending wedge with the bottom being established 8.40. Anyway then at 16.47 it excelerated a secondary decencing wedge it broke through at the first of the year. So now I would look for it to test the primary decending triangle. What this has going for it IMO is the 50/100ma is fish-hooking under the price and should lift it. The weekly chart is has a macd cross on it and the adx di's are showing the buyers are rising and sellers are falling. Look at August 2010 and your see the same setup.

So the first play for me would be seeing it break last high which was 10.92 to 11.91. At 10.91 the 11C strike should be around 0.30 and if it hits 11.91 those options would be 0.98 minus erosion. So your looking at a possible 226% play. Like always need the market and let the play come to you by showing she already moving, were not thinking it going to, showing she has enough strength to break the last high.

It has april 10th earnings coming up that might help the case. I would worry a little about the holding through earnings report. This falls in the catagory of my earlier post about earning plays. This thing been dropping like a rock and there is a reason. If you are holding through earnings then it would be wise to really really really research it.

Let me know if you are seeing what I am saying chart. By the way I put this on my hot list. I like it because it's a safe low risk/high return play.

Breakout

02/25/12 2:42 PM

#4477 RE: nerachal #4475

Oh by the way welcome and we look forward to you posting over here. We are not the high fast trades and are more of a learning share info to when, how and why.

Breakout

02/26/12 3:03 PM

#4548 RE: nerachal #4475

AA loving this more Hey nerachal. Was looking at some of the sites that sdh posted today. One was high call option volume. So me seeing AA name up there I thought I check it out. Here the thing that I misssed the first time. AA has had 2x the normal call action. But here the neat part and why sometime charts dont tell the whole story of which stock is best.

What if I told you that that if you bought the March 17th 11C strike and it moves $1 running up to earnings on april 10 you would make 5x on your money. If you took a 100 straddled 11C/10P both at 0.12 then on makes 5x$50 the other you lose your 50.

On the last post my numbers were based off march 2 expiration.