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Replies to #28608 on lowtrade

picheljitsu

02/17/12 12:26 AM

#28611 RE: floydianslips #28608

Be careful with bios. You don't want to be trading technicals when they're going through a PDUFA or releasing phase I,II, or III results.

lowtrade

02/17/12 3:38 AM

#28623 RE: floydianslips #28608



If you use stock charts, you can click java chart below the standard chart, to mark up your chart. On the top you will see the FIBs retracement tool. A little box with horizontal lines. Click it. Click and hold at the start of the run and drag up to the candle body top and release.

This will give you a scale with 38%, 50% and 61% retrace levels. You see me use this all the time to determine how large the first bounce from retrace will go.

The retrace RULE of THUMB is:
If it bounces at 38%, or above, the move will pass the previous high.
If at 50% it will reach previous high.
If from 61%, expect 50%
And from below 61%, expect a pop to 38%

When using the FIBs on a flag or pennant, you can worry about breakout at 50% and stop watching below 61%. Because the rule of thumb predicts, not projects, any bounce will not pass previous high.