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fingolfen

01/14/03 4:45 PM

#3458 RE: DewDiligence #3453

They have a graph (furnished by Intel) which shows transistors/chip, (exponentially in powers of 10) on the "y" axis and time (1970->~2006) on the "x" axis. The implication is that the graph continues on the same slope to infinity…

Yes, that's Moore's law, I was referring to the "must sell twice as many chips" and "R&D costs doubling every 2 years". I question both those assertions...

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Windsock

01/15/03 9:51 AM

#3496 RE: DewDiligence #3453

Note that the graph shows doubling of transistors every 18 months and that is Moore's Law. The author says that performance must double on schedule or Moore's Law breaks down.

The inability to understand the distinction and get the first premise correct is a red flag for the fact that the autor's thoughts are a total misunderstanding of the industry.