Replies to post #16300 on Hurricane Stocks (HSTOCKS)

[littlejohn]

More models have North Carolina on Saturday afternoon being a potential target about 4 days out...Which could still leave points north and northeast in the pecking order on land...Intensity of cat 3 projected doesn't seem to have any environmental problems unless wind shear comes into play later...

South Carolina may still be due north of an approaching cane as it turns...

The following 2 models have been way apart until now...And could still change some...

ECMWF model at 96 hours...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-opertc2.cgi?time=2011082312&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=096hr



GFDL model at 96 hours...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2011082318-irene09l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=096hr