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littlejohn

08/23/11 8:59 PM

#16298 RE: bbotcs #16292

New model runs may take till 8 to 11 tonight to post...Latest data from the 7:00 ET will have to inputted and run...Complex models can take 2 hours or more to run that filter the most complex data...

Irene visible sat view...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/vis-l.jpg

COC at about 21.2N x 72W at 7:00

Irene has barely moved over the last 12 hour period...Pressure has dropped...Speed has slowed...Wind speed is lower...

Models could move 200 to 400 miles on the end of 4 to 5 day projections with slower speed and intensity...

Until its within 2 to 3 days the lines aren't always as accurate...LJ