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01/03/03 12:22 AM

#61036 RE: brightness #61033

BTW,

Scenerio (1), the 40% probability event, would actually dove-tail with what I wrote on 12/3/02: message-607807

"Don't forget the other alternative scenerio: we retrench hard here for three weeks, then next year continues with the cyclical bull market, with a target of 1900+ (personally I think just a tad above 2000 to bring in all the euphoria) next summer. Of course, this is conditioned upon us retrenching hard here for three weeks, so forget about 1600+ this month. "

So far the first half of that scenerio has come true; past performance is no guarantee of future prospect. But I have to say, I'm impressed by the Cabbages' bearishness at the beginning of December amid a sea of bullishness and expectation of only minor pullbacks for the month of December. Mr. Market tossed in an additioal week of hard retrenchment just for good measure.