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bubbleboy

04/21/11 7:35 PM

#45510 RE: SilentOne #45507

Long term bond trend....

John here is a chart showing the ~ 73 month cycle in bond prices. There is not enough data for anything longer. This fits with your previous model of 12 years. The 12 year cycle likely bottomed in 2007 and I would have expected the first 73 month cycle to be right translated. So far, this has not been the case. The high for this 73 month cycle was end of 2008 early 2009. Projected lows for this cycle are 2013. I doubt prices make it back to the 2008 highs, but you never know since the 9 year cycle low for stocks is still ahead.




Have a good weekend everyone...

bubbleboy

slinky

04/25/11 2:25 AM

#45513 RE: SilentOne #45507

Hello John, I too was thinking that the deep retracement of the 10wk low last August could "echo" into a deeper 10wk low coming up after the 40wk low in mid March. I have May 17th as the target date for the 10wk low. How does that line up with what you have?

Slinky