InvestorsHub Logo

webx99

04/12/11 10:21 PM

#509 RE: JT123 #508

Re: "shouldn't line 10 be Bulish?"

Yes, you are right, line 10 should be bullish. I misread that one!

RE: "I’m not trying to bust you up"...

Hey, no problem at all. You're forcing me to rethink everthing...which I need to do. It's a good exercise for both of us.

Let me continue this thread tomorrow morning...I need to get my beauty rest! :)

Rick

webx99

04/13/11 8:59 AM

#510 RE: JT123 #508

Re: "How do you use columns O and P?"

Also see Post #507.

Re: "the interpretation gets confusing when the options are both undervalued or one is undervalued and the other is overvalued"

Yes it does.

Let's take line 16. Calls are underpriced (red), Puts are overpriced (green).

If calls are underpriced, they are selling calls which is bearish.
If puts are overpriced, they are buying puts which is bearish.

When you think of it in those terms, it is pretty clear. In this case I would guess it doesn't matter what columns O an P say since they confirm each other.

When both columns L and M (calls and puts) are the same color,
that means both are overpriced or both are underpriced. Then you look to columns O and P to see which one is the most strongly oversold or overpriced.

Calls most strongly overpriced: bullish
Calls most strongly underpriced: bearish
Puts most strongly overpriced: bearish
Puts most srtongly underpriced: bullish

Link to spreadsheet: https://spreadsheets2.google.com/ccc?key=tIAljT2xmkKr23UVnDJUSWQ&authkey=CJCWi_0B#gid=0

Keep the questions coming! We all learn together.

P.S I'll be out of town Thurs and Friday and most likely not be able to update the spreadsheet those days.

Rick

cpqno409

04/13/11 11:12 AM

#512 RE: JT123 #508

Rick,

I would like to make a suggestion as well. Would it be worth adding a column that describes the next days actual (bearish vs bullish)? Given commentary on decision support tools, perhaps some sort of comparision between prediction vs actual might help establish some credibilty IMHO...

Thanks for putting this together..

PQ