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Replies to #12598 on FDA Plays
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kei

02/21/11 2:44 AM

#12602 RE: oldberkeley #12598

HGSI - good question! (i own some shares and i was wondering the same...)
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InTheTrenches

02/21/11 10:57 AM

#12628 RE: oldberkeley #12598

OB:

Putting it in risk-reward terms might help to clarify:

What is the risk if they get a CRL? $10-12?

What is the potential gain? $35?

There is also the possibility of approval with a restrictive label, in which case we could drop to $20 or below.

Risk-reward seems to be even or a little on the risk side...you could lose or gain ~50%.

That said, I'm playing options on the positive side, with a few protective puts.

Good luck!