Future doc stated: "I personally think that if the Mayo results are what RPC is indicating them to be, then they could receive a barrage of orders that could turn this into a completely legitimate business, financially speaking."
The big question is the sensitivity and specificity of the new version under trials?
Ask your self a few questions.
Has the company been candid with investors? In Mid February 2010, the company stated they were on track to sell 1200 test kits. The quarter was half over at the time but when the first quarter sales were reported, only about 200 test kits were sold. Was that truth in advertising?
The number one goal of management is to sell ivestors stock. If they do not, the company goes bankrupt and POOF, their goes the CEO's more than half million income.
Future doc, you are trusting the company to have a much better test in trials. Do you understand that the company could just begin selling that test in India instead of the old one? There is no approval process in India. When the question was asked about all the false positives the test had, why didn't they just say, "oh, the new version doesn't have all those false positives"? Instead, they said you need to pre-screen to eliminate some of those false positives.
If you think the company is going to give you an honest assessment of the new test, see the first paragraph above.
Do I think the new version will be better? No I do not. The same reasons for FDP to have all the false indications are still there.
Management has already done inhouse studies on the new version. They also understand that in house studies are also not relied upon by doctors. If that version cured the problems with the test, management would be screaming it to the high heavens right now.