Lou---If someone takes my opinion and fifty cents, they can maybe get a cup of coffee at McDonalds, so read it for what it's worth.
Net feeling? I honest to goodness agree. One hundred percent. I truly think your scenario is plausible.
Now, I know I will be sliced by the 3rd generation Arkansas subsidy king, the I don't spend three hours out of 24 away from RB and here, mathias and others. No problem; heck I am drained of Hop On blood as it is, so more cuts won't hurt. Plus, I don't give a riddly diddly darn. Opinions are like noses: everyone is entitled to one and has one. And, we see 'em here.
I don't see a reverse (too many folks, including PM, would get gutted). Plus, it will take months for this thing to get traction. Your idea of having exit points makes great sense. It is no different than the logic applied to any investment or, for that matter, flyer. As a given, I will agree with many posters' feelings that one can substitute the word gamble for investment at will in this situation.
Lotsa words; not anything really sustantive. But, your scenario matches mine. Drinks on the house tomorrow, if we are wrong. Drinks on the house tomorrow, if we are right.
Let 'er rip opposing viewpoints.......
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