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JustForFun7

11/12/10 10:30 AM

#22376 RE: yielddude #22375

MTO.v

I have been keeping an eye on them but they have sucha history of poor performance and dilution that I am wary. No longer a buy and hold for me.

It hard to ignore the low valuation though. At these prices it may be worth a bottom bounce trade. Any little positive news would send them up 10-15%. Big news 30-40%.

JFF7

the cork

11/12/10 10:49 AM

#22377 RE: yielddude #22375

MEAOF Metanore (.4079) and AXSMF Alxis (.2085) are the two best deals out there.

They haven't responded to the latest rise in gold prices yet so all that appreciation is still on the table.

That's about 40% of easy greasy appreciation just waiting to take off ... and it will.

Their 75,000 ounces is just as good as any body else's LOL!

Better to buy these guys now prior to the first big move, than dabble with producers bouncing off their 52 week high and simply mirror the fluctuations in the gold price.

These two represent the greatest return on the money, if one does the DD.

Falkinator

11/12/10 12:38 PM

#22380 RE: yielddude #22375

I'll vote for Clifton Star (CFO.V / CFMSF.PK) as a good smaller gold company that is attractive at current prices. CL mentioned it on this board a few weeks ago when the SP rebounded off the $4.00 range on high volume.

Positives:
Their project is located in a mining friendly area - Quebec
They have a very respected joint venture partner in Osisko who can earn 50% if they put 70 million of work into the project
They have a good share structure with only about 30 million outstanding, just over 35 million fully diluted
Their current resource is 2.6 million ounces at about 3 grams per ton. Early next year Osisko should put out an NI 43-101 that includes the 120,000 meters of drilling they are doing this year and expectations range in the 5-10 million ounce range for the whole project.
Their project shows potential for an open pit mine with higher grade zones at depth which could be accessed with underground mining techniques
The current SP is attractive, only about 30% above its summertime low. The SP has fallen significantly this year due to it getting to far ahead of itself late last year and early this year after the Osisko JV was announced. Further, one of the largest shareholders, Joe Dwek Management Consultants, lost a proxy battle last year and became a major seller this year. From what I read, the Oct 28 volume spike was from them selling off the last of their shares (though they may still hold warrants).
Clifton Star has good buyout potential with Osisko being the obvious buyer.

Negatives:
If Osisko chooses not to go ahead with the joint venture, the SP could take a significant hit. I see that as a fairly remote possibility at this point given the drill results they have been getting
Management has never put a gold mine into production. However if Osisko continues with the JV, that should not be a significant issue.

silver100

11/12/10 2:21 PM

#22384 RE: yielddude #22375

RE small guys that haven’t really moved yet -

Quick back of the napkin notes, do your own DD to confirm…

AMC.TO is my latest focus

Market Cap 68M $0.21 325M shares out 420M FD

Got their $60M financing 6 weeks ago on favorable terms and gapped higher and have as of this week trickled back down to fill that gap.

Owns a producing mine in Canada and working on 2 others to grow to 150,000 annually next year targeting cost per ounce of C$577

Blue sky exploration potential

September 2010 Corporate Presentation – Denver Gold Forum
http://alexisminerals.com/docs/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/2010-09-Denver-full.pdf

Downsides –

Many more shares out than I typically like and Chairman Stan Bharti is not exactly known for keeping it low, but they got the big financing they needed. Their market cap is just way too low for their production profile for me to ignore. However I also won’t be surprised to see a few problems next year in an effort towards actually getting to 150,000/year.

I’m looking to buy more once funds clear.


My other focus is still now, and has been forever, TLR – TBR.V

$65M market cap $1.17 55.6M shares out, 71.8M FD shares

Producer next year at $450/oz cash cost through 50% carried-to-production interest in JV with SMD which should bring almost $30M per year in cash flow

Recent acquisition of Staccatto could well bring them towards 100,000+ ounces in next few years

Also drilling revenues from in house drilling divisions providing revenues next year around $20M

They just recently drilled 10ft of 7.88opt! 2.2 ft of 15.24 opt! Blue sky is certainly here too!

I already own way too many shares to be able to justify buying any more.

If anyone has any holes to poke in this analysis, please do! If I’m missing something I want to know about it!