I used to figure it the same way. I have since changed my stance officially to "Don't Give a Shit".
This was a fairly in depth move as it was a core value I was changing. It was a core value that was a stop gap in my move away from conservatism early in my twenties. As I've aged and learned more and reflected on history from a distanced view I realized.. Nothing changes.. Nothing. The trend is rock solid no matter the player. (Monetary as well as liberty reduction) This I know sounds like a future with no hope.. But not really in our game.
From this perspective I can clearly see the true long term trend of the Buck as a hardcore down trend... Sure pops here and there and valued against other currencies that are playing the same game make it interesting on the mid term.. But as I have stated many many times it is most important to know the long term trends before allowing yourself to perceive the mid or even short term trends...