There is some truth to what you are saying style but you should not rule out short selling on a very tiny volume. Also I tend to agree with posters who say that MM's do not report trades (sells) during the intraday trading and use to get those sells through in early AM to induce selling. Other than that, we will trade in a range from .0015 to .0025 most likely.
Good thing is the float is locked up and so are the most longs here who are waiting for the big news to hit.