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Autosinger

08/19/02 5:23 PM

#17049 RE: Zeev Hed #17048

Zeev, what is your prognosis for tomorrow?
Sherry

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jbennett53

08/19/02 5:57 PM

#17053 RE: Zeev Hed #17048

Zeev, While I agree with you I can sympathise with Limtex. You mention shorting on upticks. That's the way it's supposed to work but in reality I don't think that is adhered to on a proper basis. One problem I have with the major shorts is rumor spreading and unscrupulous "news" purveyors. This can apply to longs but most recently the shorts have held the spotlight. We all know it happens, millions are made and sometimes decent little companies can really be hurt but no one is arrested. At the risk of opening a can of worms I believe that SS will be in a state of total collapse in the not distant future. Part of the reform would be a small tax on short term trading profits. I know you don't agree but I feel that the markets should shift, at least a little, back to their original purpose and short term trading doesn't fit.

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Sir Realist

08/19/02 10:04 PM

#17135 RE: Zeev Hed #17048

I'd add that even in the healthiest markets, when things are near proper valuations, stocks should move from oversold to overbought, then back again. In other words, without a bubble, the moves down are a correcting cycle necessary to provide bargains. Shorts are a necessary balance.

The only thing criminal about shorting is naked short selling, which is the act of cheating brokers, not the shorters themselves.

And the bottom line for one who always seeks longs (as I do): turn all your charts upside down, especially near the end of October. Then look at where the best odds exist. Just as the last six months of 99 you could buy most any POS and see it rise, without great skill, that's what the post bubble decline offers to shorts: odds are most will go down.

Rather than judging what's fair, determine where the stocks are going and trade in that direction.

(and btw, it took me a long time to break my own resistance to shorting and I still do it rarely. But simple reason suggests that if the rules permit it, and the odds favor it, why resist the easier path to profit?)