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Ecomike

12/05/09 2:57 PM

#313 RE: spec machine #312

I sold my shares about 2 weeks ago, and went short via puts, both too early, but added puts middle of the week which are doing nicely. I felt it went to far too fast as well. But now that I read they had a GAAP loss this quarter and not a GAAP profit (it was a non-GAAP profit reported which is what most people read the first time around!), I may get even bolder with the puts here. I guess I need to pull up the DEC 3 SEC document itself and read it to see what the GAAP versus non-GAAP huge difference is all about. As I recall it had earnings report issues that dropped the price 50% earlier this year as well. Will this be a repeat performance?

I also don't see them reporting the increased year over year expected revenues for next year that I expected to see based on this years PRs of new projects? I thought next year was likely to double or triple, but what I just read is a pittance compared to what the PRs sounded like. Long story short, I think this stock is way over priced here. There is also a nagging question in my mind of expansion costs, and sources of those expansion revenues?

Once again, not advise, just my personal opinion.
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Ecomike

12/05/09 3:23 PM

#314 RE: spec machine #312

I don't think they recognize project revenue until receipt of project payments (?), which was a big earnings dissapointment earlier this year that crashed the stock like 50% while I was holding it this summer. One of the analysts bailed on the stock right after that, sighting earnings visibility issues!
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Ecomike

12/06/09 1:56 AM

#315 RE: spec machine #312

A friend of mine did this chart for me. Very interesting, and note the gaps at $14, $12 and $10 we left behind in the recent rally(s).

http://cdn.cloudfiles.mosso.com/c71692/media/image/200912/php3lLxwwapwr-60min.png