If you are saying that a bankuptcy reorg is likely there must be something that I'm missing. So please, if I'm wrong tell me.
Why bankructy is not going to happen:
- they have cash - they are generating cash - they have no debt coming due outside of the StingRay Pass-Thru's which they already own 50% of them - they have almost no debt- the only long-term debt are trust preferreds -assets exceed liabilities - thinking that they are going to file Ch 11 just to get DIP financing and start to write business makes no sense
You keep saying that ORe is an issue- there is no recourse to SCT so I dont know what you are getting at. MBIA insures the paper and risk has been offloaded to others.
What am I missing that you are so confident about regarding these points? I dont need any other comments than what is addressed here.
Again, send me a PM if you want to have a big boy conversation.