Replies to post #47430 on Expo Holdings Inc. (EXPH)

[StochasticsRule]

100 million?

is the OS at a billion? then 100 mil in revenues is .10 per share

i dont know what i'm talking about, i came out of lurking to take a stab at this question because im bored

[99leadballoons]

hard to answer because we dont know what earnings would be.

in 2007 they did almost 5 million and still lost money.

in 2008 they did 2.3 mil and lost 940k.

In 1st qtr they did 500k and made 49,000.

So in a very unscientific way lets say that the difference from 2.3 to 5 accounted for 700k in net profit. 700k/2.7mil = about 25% net profit which is very high btw, but we will roll with it.

So at 25% net and sales of 20 million per year EXPH would earn
5 million per year. Multiply by 20 divide by the O/S and you get about .10.

So I say about 20 million on the aggressive side. If you adjust the margins to 15% it is about 32 million in sales.

Again hard to do without a little more info, but take it or leave. I also may or may not have had some impairing beverages tonight so somebody please check this math.