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Soapy Bubbles

08/21/09 6:10 PM

#170476 RE: dwang318 #170468

No. Actually falling wedges are bullish and they average slope is negative. Look up in the Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns to learn about the stats and description of wedges.
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ClayTrader

08/28/09 10:33 AM

#177115 RE: dwang318 #170468

I'd also like to add that the weekly chart does not have a bull pennant b/c of the sell-off this afternoon.. maybe you know nothing about charting?

You sure about that?
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Soapy Bubbles

08/28/09 5:18 PM

#177932 RE: dwang318 #170468

Actually you're incorrect. Although the slope of the price (approximated by high order polynomials since the chart tends to be the limit of an equicontinous family of functions approximating the chart) may be negative, there are statistical arguments showing that such charts are intrinsically bullish. Example: Wedges, triangles, and other forms of consolidation. I suggest you get a copy of "The Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns" and review the statistical and empirical arguments showing that it is not as simple as a slope.

Also, variational calculus shows that extrema in a chart denoted by divergences are less probable than a classical configuration of normal trading. This is the mathematical underpinning of pinchers, channel breakouts, and BBand tightening. When such phenomena occur, the chart attains a state of low probability (a completed pattern) and thus changes behavior as outlined in the Encyclopedia as to attain a probable chart/configuration that we call a breakout. Example: Touch a lower BBand.

So, Clay is correct, but he doesn't talk down to people about the mathematical nuances of trading.