not to quibble, but prices will face higher SMA on the way up..50,100,200,300,400 and so on..So this can be done ad infinitum to justify bear position and a losing one..i have a short position from 950 SPX tho
320-day ma. If the market busts above it tomorrow/Monday, the short covering alone could drive us to SPX 1050. In that case, the 10-week low may stay above SPX 1000, and that prospect alone will ensure MASSIVE short covering.
The last time the market challenged and successfully crossed above the 320-day moving average was in 2003 (there's that analogy again). See first chart below.
In the second chart (current market), notice the similarity of the market action around the 20-day moving average and the 320-day. Interesting. Clearly we are at a crucial moment in market history.