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entdoc

08/05/09 9:01 PM

#39795 RE: honestabe13 #39792

honest abe: the best parallel is ImClone. I bought it at about $18 when it was in early stage III trial openings would lead PPHM to equivalent evaluation. It peaked at about $120, and then split, and meandered around for a while before settling in the $30s before being purchased by BMY. With PPHM it is a matter of "critical mass," which is overwhelming public and institutional focus and belief. So far PPHM has not missed a beat. It is an infinitely better property than Imclone, and should be as good as DNA. Right now the trading is laughable, but certainly a buying point in the .70-1.00 range.
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spankyvol

08/05/09 9:05 PM

#39796 RE: honestabe13 #39792

abe...


I would take $3.... or wishful... $4 right now.
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keep_trying

08/05/09 9:07 PM

#39797 RE: honestabe13 #39792

Honestabe, You wrote that a run up in pps without revenue would be like a dot com. I don't see it that way. Biotech companies that have a mission like PPHM's don't fit that profile. These companies need money to move candidate products through trials. They get to a certain point, where trial results are indicating sucess, failure or need for more research. These companies need more money to proceed, so net revenues are sparse. PPHM is an exception because it has a licensed mabufacturing facility that is generating more revenue than PPHM needs to run the Avid shop.

What drives the "pay off" that leads to the increased market capitalization that you suggest ($1/2 billion, a billion, 2 billion etc.)? What is realistic translates to what can PPHM develop with its proprietary technology that increases share holder value. That can mean more Avid revenue. It can mean PPHM products demonstrate they are outperforming standard of care and are on track for approval.

If PPHM has products that can be part of the answer to a swine flue treatment or vaccine, effective treatment against HIV or HCV, increased progression free survival or complete responses for cancer patients etc., share holder value potential ramps up to a higher level.

We shall see how far things proceed, but consider that Imclone and Erbitux established $7 billion in market capitalization while prospective treatment applications were much less than what PPHM has under formation. An influx of funding to progress trials from an interested large pharma breaks the holding pattern wide open.

Best wishes and IMO.
KT
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NCB2K

08/05/09 9:14 PM

#39798 RE: honestabe13 #39792

Honestabe, there are 100 million flu cases per year. And that's just for the flu. And that's just for non-veterinary usage.

Let's say a course of bavi antiviral ran $100. I would pay that in a heartbeat rather than go through a flu like I had in May, or the Norwalk I had in 2007, which I can tell you was a walk through hell.

Do the math.