Replies to post #3832 on Electronic Game Card, Inc (fka EGMIQ)

[chklingon]

Looks like the overall market is now being run down again. No idea how deep the shorters will take it this time. It is very hard to hold up when everyone else is down. Sell and reenter again or just ride it back and load more on. Long term still looks good, but don't fight the market or you will lose.

Trying to decide just what I said. Tomorrow is a new day.....

[ambulance_blues]

Re: What are you talking about "if the market tanks".

I mean, if it tanks "again". I believe the low on the S&P was 666 during the latest tank. We may be testing that bottom again in the coming months, and there's no guarantee it will hold.

"...I do not see where you get .13 tax adjusted."

I start with Roth's estimate of .20 eps, and discount by 35% to back in taxes. Assuming their earnings start to ramp, they will be paying real taxes in 2011 at the rate they're burning their NOL. It doesn't hurt to prepare for that in your model, as Roth does.

"...I don't see any reason for a blow out quarter until the 4th quarter when the Moscoe connections align with the release of the Thomas GameCards. The company anticipates Thomas going out the door fourth quarter in time for Xmas sales. If Moscoe uses their relationships for Thomas distribution, I see lightning in a bottle."

Good point about the Moscoe connections. I'm hoping we can drive a lot more than just Thomas and quizcards through that channel. We could sure use some licensing deals with major sports leagues about now.

"...the China lottery has some legs. That could have major impact once it is a done deal."

That could be a huge deal, but wondering about the margins we could expect from the Chinese lottery, when even the U.S. lottery was so tight that a sub-$20 card wasn't viable for the states.

[umiak]

tahhhhh daaaaaahhhh!