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Billcoln

07/02/09 9:35 AM

#703 RE: Al_Capwn #699

Float is about 72 million shares, according to Yahoo, but I believe it is far less in practical terms. I think most large institutions are looking at this stock the same way I do, that is, as a long term investment with tremendous long term potential, and they are probably going to hold on or even accumulate more.

I expect to be holding a considerable position in 5 years. I have never sold any shares and I have been accumulating since November of 2005. This company could follow a similar path of Medimmune which sold in 2007 for $15+ billion. I think we could actually see a company worth more than that in 2014. The RSV and Shingles vaccines should each be block-buster (Billion dollar) vaccines. In addition, there are many other disease targets that Novavax will go after with their VLP platform.

I believe the stock price is much lower than it should be because the stock market is looking at this company the way it values all Biotech companies with a product pipeline, that is, a typical high failure rate of products in clinical trials. Vaccines are different than drugs and have a much more predictable outcome of success. The CEO has stated this same theory in his presentations and obviously Oppie, Wellington, Ironwood, Cadila, KPCB, Prospect, and now ROVI agree.
Bill