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*~1Best~*

02/09/09 8:14 PM

#14081 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Economic Crisis ~ re Obama stresses urgency of passing stimulus plan

The excuse for Economic crisis was that the Bush admin didn't listen to the Economists; now, we have the Harvard, Princeton, and reknown Economists' brains who are genuinely concerned about our economy even though some are just looking for self-wealth gratification; so, we should be better than before.


Obama stresses urgency of passing stimulus plan

(CNN) -- President Obama took his case for a massive economic stimulus plan to a wider audience Monday in his first prime time news conference at the White House.

Obama, his advisers and the Democratic leaders of Congress argue the roughly $838 billion measure will help pull the U.S. economy out of its current skid.

Much of the package involves infrastructure spending, long-term energy projects and aid to cash-strapped state and local government.

Obama said Monday the "single most important part" of the plan is that it will create or save up to 4 million jobs.

The president claims 90 percent of those jobs would be generated by the private sector, a rebuttal of some conservative critics who say the plan amounts to little more than a government jobs bill.

The president assembled top aides at the White House on Sunday evening to "go over topics" for a little refresher, according to White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs.

Gibbs said the president is ready for all the key topics because he covered a lot of the same ground -- topics like the economy, health care, Iraq, Afghanistan -- for nearly two years on the presidential campaign trail.

Obama will start the news conference with an 8 to 10 minute opening statement on the economy. Aides have allotted 40-45 minutes for questions from reporters, Gibbs said.

Obama's remarks come on the eve of a crucial vote, when the senators decide whether to pass their version of the stimulus bill.

The Senate gave Obama a big victory just hours before his news conference, voting to end debate on the bill and move to a full vote Tuesday.

The House passed its version of the stimulus bill nearly two weeks ago -- without a single Republican vote.

If the measure passes the Senate, the two chambers will have to reconcile the differences in their versions of the bill.

The president wants the final bill on his desk by Presidents Day, which is next Monday.

Republicans opposed to the bill say there is too much wasteful spending and not enough tax cuts in it.

Obama has urged lawmakers to act swiftly, warning that failure to do so "will turn crisis into a catastrophe."

Obama gave his message a road test Monday as he traveled to Elkhart, Indiana, to stump for the plan.

The downturn could become a "crisis that at some point we may be unable to reverse," Obama told a packed high school gymnasium at a campaign-style town hall. "We can't afford to wait."

Obama is planning a second campaign-style swing Tuesday, heading to Fort Myers, Florida, another city wrestling with double-digit unemployment.

Polls show the public is split over the stimulus plan. A slight majority, 54 percent, favors the bill; 45 percent are opposed, according to a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey released Monday.

Obama says his plan will spur job creation and long-term growth by:

* Doubling the production of alternative energy in the next three years

* Modernizing federal buildings and improving the energy efficiency of 2 million American homes

* Making investments to have the country's medical records computerized within five years

* Equipping schools with 21st-century classrooms

* Expanding broadband access

* Investing in science and new technologies

Leading Republicans warned Sunday that the Obama administration's stimulus effort will lead to what one called a "financial disaster."

"Everybody on the street in America understands that," said Sen. Richard Shelby, the ranking Republican on the Senate Banking Committee. "This is not the right road to go. We'll pay dearly."

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office reported last week that the stimulus measure, as it's presented now, is likely to create between 1.3 million and 3.9 million jobs by the end of 2010, lowering a projected unemployment rate of 8.7 percent by up to 2.1 percentage points.

But the CBO warned the long-term effect of that much government spending over the next decade could "crowd out" private investment, lowering long-term economic growth forecasts by 0.1 percent to 0.3 percent by 2019.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/02/09/obama.news.conference/index.html
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*~1Best~*

02/09/09 9:21 PM

#14083 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Major markets are down about 45% since the Oct 2007 top and are in a consolidation period for about 3 months.

http://trend-signals.blogspot.com/2009/02/economic-recovery.html
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*~1Best~*

02/10/09 8:14 AM

#14086 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Futures consolidated during over night and are trading near at pivotal breakouts R. ES 870 ~ SPX 875

Breaking out will trigger short-covering.
















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*~1Best~*

02/10/09 8:46 AM

#14088 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Business cycles are like 4 seasons ~ just a matter of how high or low cycle amplitude will be.

~~~

Pros: Stimulus May Be 'Beginning of the End'
CNBC.com
| 10 Feb 2009 | 06:50 AM ET

Investors are eager to see the details of a stimulus package to help the US economy on which the Senate will vote Tuesday. Some experts tell CNBC it will signal the beginning of the end of the economic crisis, but others say it will not bring immediate relief.

Betting on US Stimulus

The market is hoping the announcement of the US stimulus package will be the "beginning of the end" of the last 12 months, says Joshua Williamson, senior strategist, currency & fixed Income Research TD Securities, speaking to CNBC.

Obama Plan Won't Help Immediately

Obama's job creation plan and projects are slow-acting and will not bring immediate results, says Robert Heller, former governor of the US Federal Reserve board.

Bailout Won’t Boost Market

"Just giving money to banks to recapitalize isn’t going to get positive market response," Mark Daniell from Cuscaden Group said. Christian Blaabjerg from Saxo Bank joined the discussion stating that he believes there will be a short-term market rally before turning down again.

Impact of Global Bailout Plans

Discussing the implications of the massive government bailout plans in the US and Australia, with Tony Morriss, senior market strategist at ANZ Bank.

What the Stimulus Plan Needs

Obama's new package needs to be targeted & efficient, says Robert Heller, former governor of the US Federal Reserve board. He discusses what the emphasis should be on, with guest host Andrew Freris, BNP Paribas Wealth Mgmt.
© 2009 CNBC.com

URL: http://www.cnbc.com/id/29115531/
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02/10/09 8:56 AM

#14089 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Treasury to lay out foreclosure fix
Administration officials to unveil plan to address housing crisis. But details may be lacking.
By Tami Luhby, CNNMoney.com senior writer
Last Updated: February 9, 2009: 5:46 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is expected to announce Tuesday the Obama administration's long-awaited plans to address the foreclosure crisis.

But how much detail he'll reveal remains to be seen.

This much we know -- the Obama administration wants to set aside between $50 billion and $100 billion to address the foreclosure crisis. Loan modifications are expected to be a central part of the plan.

The administration's plan to attack the foreclosure crisis should come as part of its proposal for using the $350 billion remaining in the financial industry bailout package. Obama's officials have said for weeks that they will devote more resources to helping homeowners than their predecessor.

Washington insiders, however, say that Geithner may merely announce an overall framework for foreclosures, but won't get into specifics. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan told CNN Saturday that the plan's details would be unveiled "in coming weeks."

Finding a foreclosure fix is daunting, experts said. It eluded the Bush administration, which preferred to try to entice mortgage services to voluntarily modify loans without committing government funds.

Obama faces similar hurdles.

"It's been a real challenge," said Scott Talbott, senior vice president for government affairs for the Financial Services Roundtable. "To come up with a widespread approach is very difficult."
Potential plans

Obama's plan may expand onthe Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s streamlined loan modification program, which serves as a model for workouts being conducted by several banks and by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The FDIC's program, which is underway at failed lender IndyMac, calls for making monthly payments more affordable by reducing interest rates, lengthening loan terms or deferring principal. Servicers aim to reduce payments to no more than 31% of a borrower's monthly income. So far, more than 10,000 delinquent loans have been modified, and offers have been made to another 20,000 borrowers.

Larry Summers, director of Obama's National Economic Council, has said that banks that receive bailout funds will be required to implement foreclosure prevention programs.

The Obama administration is expected to put some money behind the modification efforts. It's likely any modification plan will come with incentives for servicers and with some type of backstop in case the borrower defaults again. FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair unveiled a $24.4 billion plan in November that offered servicers $1,000 and provided a guarantee to cover 50% of any losses in case of redefault. The proposal, which she estimates will help 1.5 million people avoid foreclosure, has gone nowhere so far.

Officials may also expand the role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which the federal government took over in September. Two months later, the mortgage finance companies announced a plan to help delinquent borrowers by reworking their mortgages.

The Bush administration had hoped the agencies' efforts would set a national standard for loan modifications. But the plan, which reduces payments to no more than 38% of a borrower's monthly income, is viewed as falling short because most of the troubled loans fall outside the purview of Fannie and Freddie.

Under the stimulus plan current under debate in the Senate, congressional lawmakers would require the president to develop a loan modification plan.

"Stemming the tide of foreclosures, which are at the heart of this economic crisis, must be one of our top priorities," said Senator Chris Dodd, D-Conn., in a statement late Friday night after the Senate approved his amendment to the stimulus plan that would require the Treasury Department to spend at least $50 billion in funds from the bank bailout on a loan modification program.

"By providing the Treasury with the authority and funds to design and implement a loan modification program, we can help nearly 2 million families nationwide...avoid losing their home," Dodd added.

A major problem confronting the Obama administration, however, is what to do with the rising number of foreclosures stemming from unemployment. Loan modifications don't work for these borrowers.

The only viable solution for these delinquent homeowners is to get the economy moving again so they can get jobs, experts said.

Along those lines, Shaun Donovan, the Secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, said in an interview on CNN Saturday morning that creating jobs was the top way to address the foreclosure problem.

"What is really driving the foreclosure crisis right now is that people are losing their jobs. And so job number one is to pass a recovery bill that will add three to four million jobs in this country," Donovan said.
Beyond bailout

To be sure, the administration's efforts will go beyond the bailout package. Already, it's likely the massive stimulus package will contain measures to spur homebuying, including a $15,000 tax credit for those purchasing a home. On deck is controversial legislation to allow bankruptcy judges to modify loans on primary residences.

Congressional Democrats are also looking to revamp the troubled Hope for Homeowners program, which was designed to refinance struggling borrowers into government-backed Federal Housing Administration loans. Few borrowers have signed up for the program, in part because of its high fees. Lawmakers hope to make it more attractive by easing the terms and providing incentives for servicers to participate.

In his statement late Friday, Dodd said his amendment would reform the program by reducing the upfront and annual premiums for borrowers, lowering the percentage of future equity that homeowners must share with the government and adding incentive payments to servicers.

Whatever the administration chooses to do, it should implement it quickly, experts said. Foreclosures continue to rise, with a new one started every 13 seconds, according to the Center for Responsible Lending.

"Every minute they delay someone is going to lose their home," said Kathleen Day, the center's spokeswoman. "The government has waited too long to act." To top of page
First Published: February 9, 2009: 5:41 PM ET







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*~1Best~*

02/10/09 9:20 AM

#14090 RE: *~1Best~* #14080

Qs is trading at 31.23 S in consolidation and SPY 86/SPX 860 +/-. If markets break out unexpectedly, it will be another short-covering day and/or could be a volatile day ~ good luck