Categories (using DNAP terminology)
Absolute Minimal- Northern European, Middle European, Mediterranean European, Middle Eastern, South Asian, West-Central African, East African, North Amerind, Central-South Amerind, Northeast Asian, Southeast Asian, Pacific Islander
That's 12 - 3 times the current (as opposed to 8, only 2x current).
However, the following may be also feasible:
Eastern European, Central Asian, Aleut-Eskimo
Bringing it to 15
If they are really ambitious, then, as they have mentioned a long while back, can try distinguishing Chinese from Japanese, etc.
But I do hope that Gabriel is, as suggested, underpromising and overdelivering. My reading of the complaints of DNAP customers, and the expectations, is that:
A) People think that the current 4 categories are too broad
B) They have been looking forward to 3.0, and think that 3.0 will perform as I have listed above
C) Are wondering why 3.0, initially promised for the end of 2003, is taking so long
It is an unwise investment for DNAP's (limited?) resources, to put time, $$ and effort into a 8 category test that the market is going to be none-too-happy with. It's a matter of demand and willingness to pay. Someone who has already paid for 2.0 and 2.5 may well be willing to invest in a 12-20 category test (the more the better), but may not be interested to learn that they are "European" vs. "South Asian" or some other broad distinction that they already know from their ancestry.
I'm sure though that, on the other hand, a Filipino may wish to know how much ancestry they derive from Northeast Asian vs. Southeast Asian vs. Pacific Islander ancestries (a Filipino may derive ancestry from all 3 sources, as well as Indo-European).
A person of European descent may learn that they derive ancestry from parts of Europe that they were unaware of, based upon ancient admxiture. Persons of Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry may want to know how much Middle Eastern vs. Middle European or Eastern European ancestry they have. A person of Egyptian ancestry may want to know if they derive ancestry from East African, Middle Eastern, or Mediterranean European sources. An adopted person can learn lots of information based upon tests that approach, or exceed, 16 categories.
However, none of these questions can be answered with 8. Thus, the market for such a test would be limited. Unless a huge discount is given, customer interest would be lukewarm.
That may be a subject of interest for the July 29 meeting.
In addition, legitimate questions about the tests should not be obfuscated with "we can't tell because of federal law." Indeed, I agree they cannot give out information about future products unless they make the information public (which they should). But they CAN and SHOULD give out information explaining products _already released._
That is very important.
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