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SA12

12/02/08 11:37 AM

#4591 RE: jonesieatl #4590

"Where did all of this happy hooplah from May go?"

Ummm, just a guess here but, perhaps Lynn was somewhat - what's the word I'm looking for? - MISLEADING?

I'd call it lying but he had all that safe harbor language in all them press releases...







As always, just one man's opinion.

geoscience2

12/02/08 11:48 AM

#4592 RE: jonesieatl #4590

This is very interesting how it shows 6 wells at PV producing ~213 BOPD. Obviously that production is for the wells they drilled at PV this year that I thought were held "confidential" by the DOG, or I thought that's what the CEO has been saying in multiple PR's/newsletters? Can you find where he said that? I even thought I read somewhere where he said the "confidentiality" will be eased before year end? Is he really that clueless to not know if certain wells (only 6 wells at PV and one at Moffat) are held confidential as he has stated, or could some of the production be held confidential and they really are doing the 2,058 BOED (in June) as he said it was doing? Or is this a all just "story tellin"? Keep in mind, in all the PR's and in shareholder letters, he has covered himself pretty well with words like "anticipated", "expected" and uses production "capacity" (underlines it in recent shareholder letter) and of course uses boEd nomenclature which means the "equivalent of" could be almost any substance "converted" to oil equivalent with the right "massaging". Oh, in your "happy hoopla" quotes, don't forget about this jewel..."Robert Bell, TVOG president, outlined the exceptional increases in oil and gas production over the previous year and the near term and long term production increases now underway. He outlined how TVOG expects to achieve its goal of 10,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by the end of 2010".

One last thought, the DOG site you posted only showed the Moffat well doing about 600 MCF in August? I thought that well was supposed to be confidential too? If that's the "real number", which is a hard thing to nail down around here, then it sure doesn't warrant 25 new "development wells" to exploit that so-called "discovery". I mean, it may be "commercial and economic" (net gas revenue exceeds costs, even after discounting for time factor) if it can sustain that rate or higher (no less) for a couple years to pay out its ~ million dollar (more?), drill/complete/pipeline/equipment refurbishment/etc. cost to date at Moffat. But, on the surface (if that's all its producing after only 9-10 months of production), it looks pretty marginal. Maybe that's why we don't hear anything about all those follow up Moffat wells they were going to drill before year end?

Oh well, I guess myself and 98% of the other shareholders just believed it was all true and stuck with this so long, as our shareholder value got almost completely decimated. It sure appears the CEO's "magic" of bringing in fresh investors to bolster the stock price, or saying things in PR's/newsletters that entices existing deep pocket shareholders to buy more (like Gamble), just falls on deaf ears these days. I always wonder what ever happened to the self described/self appointed/self enriched? "White Knight"?

Geo

jonesieatl

12/07/08 6:29 PM

#4607 RE: jonesieatl #4590

DOGGR TABLES SHOWING AUGUST PRODUCTION

Interesting to see the numbers on the OPI site vs the FTP site.

The OPI site numbers , shown in the first table below , show the non-confidential wells and include S. Belridge and Edison. As you can see , August oil production for these wells seems to have been substantially lower than July Production.

The FTP site numbers which I posted about a week ago are shown in the second table below and include all wells including the 'confidential' wells at PV and Moffat , without the per-well detail. These totals are roughly the same as July's.

Not sure what to make of that obvious discrepancy other than remembering DOGGR telling me in the past that the FTP site sometimes uses estimates , whereas the OPI site incorporates the exact per-well detail which TIV provides them in their report. If that's what is going on here , then S. Belridge and Edison August production is 1000 bbls down from July for a 33% drop.