Note: UVXY is only slightly red at open, after 1 hr it stayed in green the rest of the day!
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Officials from AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Merck, Moderna and Pfizer will field questions on July 21 about the vaccine prospects before the House Energy and Commerce Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee.
With Wednesday’s gain the S&P 500 is now less than 5% away from recovering its February all-time high level, although some investors believe the the rally has run too far, too fast, given all the uncertainties that remain in the market.
“We are not out of the woods yet and are still far away from returning to pre-COVID-19 economic levels,” said Nate Fischer, chief investment strategist at Strategic Wealth Partners.
“The market is in need of a healthcare solution, as the economy was forced to shut down for a healthcare issue. So far, we’ve had fiscal and monetary assistance to this problem. Until a real medical remedy is found, the market will remain volatile,” he added.
Further dollar weakness would likely be an unwelcome development for economies such as Europe and Japan, as their own rising currencies threaten to weigh on growth and efforts to spark inflation.
The dollar is down around 3% year-to-date, after rising for each of the last two years. The greenback slid nearly 10% in 2017.
A weaker dollar makes U.S. exports more competitive abroad and helps U.S. multinational companies by making it cheaper for them to convert profits back into their home currency. That’s potentially good news for a rally in U.S. stocks that has slowed in recent weeks after coming within distance of all-time highs.
A 10% fall in the value of the dollar against a basket of trade-weighted currencies would increase 2020 earnings per share by about 3%, Goldman said. Goldman analysts expect the dollar to fall another 5% over the next 12 months.
Other assets are already benefiting from the dollar’s drop. Gold, which like many commodities is priced in the U.S. currency and becomes more affordable to foreign buyers when the dollar falls, stands near its historic high, part of a rally that has driven the S&P/Goldman Sachs Commodity Index .SPGSCI 34% higher since late March, as of Monday.
Developing countries are also likely to cheer a weaker dollar as it makes it cheaper for them to service debt denominated in the U.S. currency.
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