Replies to post #252 on Bob Brinker Data

[Burk]

I agree. I think he will experience a huge decline in subscribers....

[Kirk]

I warned you years ago. The chart below is worth thousands of words... but first a few from Brinker for the record:

Bob Brinker wrote in the January 2008 Marketimer with S&P500 @ 1468.36:

“In summary, the Marketimer stock market timing model indicates that conditions are favorable for the market as we enter 2008."

And

"We expect the S&P Index to achieve new record highs this year and to reach the 1600’s range in the process. “

The S&P500 was just in the 800's Bob....




and put up with quite a bit of your nonsense when I tried to warn you.....


Kirk out
#board-1574

[Kirk]

Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #1 lost 39.7% last year, 2008.
Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #2 lost 37.4 last year, 2008.
Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #3 lost 23.9 last year, 2008.

This is an excerpt of what Hulbert wrote about Brinker's performance:

"Brinker’s fund selections on average have lagged the market. The HFD reports an 8.7% annualized gain for his “Aggressive” portfolio, which is 0.6 percentage points per year less than what this portfolio would have made if each of its funds were invested in the DJ Wilshire 5000 during the times they were owned.

Please note: In late 2000, Brinker forecasted a several-month bear market rally and recommended an investment in the NASDAQ 100 Index, a trade that turned out quite unprofitably. However, because Brinker at the time of making this forecast chose not to make this trade part of his model portfolios (he did not tell his subscribers this little fact until weeks after the rally failed to materialize), his HFD record has not suffered as a result."
__ March 2009 by Mark Hulbert on Pg 4 of the April 2009 issue of "The Hulbert Financial Digest"

Brinker doesn't beat the market even with a handicap "Math Junkie" calculated lowered the total of P3 by 30% from what Brinker reports.