WTMHouston: You are leaving out some very important details. Intentional or not, these omissions are conspicuous.
As for the movie financing deal and the timing, I think that it is pretty clear that NVEI was a film production company prior to early 2000 and that this particular movie deal was well in the works before NVEI acquired its broadband technology even though the deal was not finalized until April. You are splitting hairs.
There are some errors in the convertible note assessment that you did. You said:
The conversion privilege allows the holder to convert not only the principal, but also the 50% "interest" into stock at $0.40 a share. As I recall, and I would have to look it up again to be certain, there is about $1.9 million in convertible financing so far. The additional 50% raises this to $2.85 million, at $0.40 a share = 7.125 million shares.
According to the 10K, there was only $865,000 financed through convertible notes, not the $1.9 million that you claim. If you look closely at Exhibits 10.18 through 10.24, you will find all of the conditions for these notes. The language appears to be identical in each Exhibit except for the amounts and the threshold at which the notes become payable. Although the reading is a bit difficult, the meaning becomes clear. Here is what I gleaned:
1) The notes are not convertible until they are payable. See Section 1 of each exhibit. As such, the holders cannot exercise the conversion now. They must wait until the notes are payable. The conditions that make the notes payable vary, but in general, NVEI must have recovered an amount equal to or greater than 150% of the note amount before it becomes payable. In other words, the notes do not become payable until the movie has grossed enough to pay them. Pretty simple really. Note that for Exhibits 10.19 and 10.20 the notes do not become payable until NVEI has $2.25 million in revenue.
2) The shares are not restricted. So, once the note becomes payable, the payee can, at any time, convert the notes to common stock at a strike price of 0.40 and sell them if he sees fit. The total dilution would be (865,000 x 1.5)/0.40 = approximately 3.24 million shares, not the 7.125 million you calculated. Additionally, please remember that the notes are not payable (and hence not convertible) until the revenue goals have been met.
You also said:
Thus, before stockholders of NVEI get even, NVEI must get 150% of whatever NVEI ultimately invested by way of the convertibles. If they get the full $2.25 million for such notes, they will need $3.375 million in revenue to NVEI before the owners of NVEI are even.
I believe this is incorrect. The $2.25 million includes the 50% override as an interest cost. I an quite certain that I saw that in the 10K. I will try to go back and find it. Therefore, the total "nut" is $2.25 million - not $3.375 million.
You also said:
Thus, before stockholders of NVEI get even, NVEI must get 150% of whatever NVEI ultimately invested by way of the convertibles. If they get the full $2.25 million for such notes, they will need $3.375 million in revenue to NVEI before the owners of NVEI are even. Of course, to get to this $3.375 million, and assuming that the JV never has any expenses above the $2.25 million, which is unlikely, the JV (not the movie) must gross at least $4.50 million. The movie's gross will have to be MUCH greater than $4.5 million for this to happen.
OK, we have already established that the cost of production is $2.25 million, not $3.375 million. I have no idea where you got the $4.5 million figure for movie gross to recoup the investment. According to the 10K:
Under the terms of our joint venture, we agreed to finance the production of the film for up to $2,250,000. Upon its release, we will receive all revenues generated by the film until we recover 100% of our initial investment. After we recoup our investment in the venture, 50% of the net profits generated by the film will be paid to us.
It is very clear that *all* revenues generated by the film will be received until the investment is recovered. Additionally, the 10K clearly stated that the movie will be completed within the budget.
So, the first $2.25 million of movie revenue all goes to paying off the production costs. I will not get into a heated discussion about potential gross revenues at this point. Neither of us can really speculate with any authority. However, based on the huge success of Endless Summer, and the modest success of Endless Summer II I would expect gross revenues to be well over $10 million. Since EndlessSummer II did over $10 million in its first year, and considering box-office inflation since 1994, $20 million is easily achievable. It if becomes a cult success like the first Endless Summer did, then it could do much, much more. But that is just my opinion.