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challo

03/20/08 10:59 AM

#116692 RE: challo #116691

edit - this is better -g-


ajtj99

03/20/08 11:09 AM

#116695 RE: challo #116691

GE's chart looks like April-May 2001 all over again.

The Dollar recovery process may have more to do with intervention and a technical bounce than fundamental change in our economy.

The Fed Funds Futures are pricing in additional cuts in May. The Treasury Yields on the 3-month suggest this as well.

As for the years ending in 8, I don't think there are enough statistical examples to draw suitable conclusions. We blew a lot of those types of things in the 2000 to 2002 bear market.