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ari5000

01/25/08 11:26 AM

#93311 RE: run168 #93309

whole market is volatile now...


gap fades / reversals are a very high probability pattern lately.


Like SKF dropping under 102 in the first 10 minutes only to climb 6 points later on. That low happened to be a breach of the 50 day MA where a lot of stop orders were probably placed.

If you think about where people might be placing those orders (under a MA or just under a whole number -- SKF hit 101.85 -- just enough to take out those 101.95 orders...) you can hit a small jackpot on the reversal.

Same was true with SOLF in retrospect -- that bottom was the first time crossing under the 200 day MA and hitting all kinds of stops. Once those orders were done -- selling pressure disappeared.

Some of the swings are huge. SPF is up about 75% from about 3 days ago.