Replies to post #4792 on *~1Best~* Market Timing & Trend-Signals

[*~1Best~*]

Yep, you were saying the same longer than I am. LOL Any shred of confidence in the operation is just a full of deceit. It is the money party at the expense of naive public. Market movements are so cunning like Bernanke intelligence - how to hook many to take their money, like R.E. disaster.

Commented on the trading to the 10/11/07 highs going into this rally; but, market internals and individual stocks trading pattern is like mine-fields to blow up.

It certainly is not what it used to be. U.S. great country is robbed and left with a mountain of debt. Not sure who can restore it as long as the Fed is manipulating the world.

It is a good thing that you are around who know all about bearish sentiment.

I now think that Prechter bearish sentiment would have been better. A crash in Aug 2004 would have prevented R.E. bubbles, all college kids hooked into stock market. Evidently, I was fooled by supporting the Gov and market.

God knows all details and facts. He will deliver the final judgment even though we are all lost. As you said, God have mercy on their souls for anyone who intentionally deceived many. We can't find any good intentions in stock market since it is money involved. a saint Gates. LOL

[*~1Best~*]

Can you ask your uncle economist about 1970s economy. We had the best GDP growth year during that time above average of 1.7 for the period list below, 1947 - 2007. With polynomial trendline drawn for the GDP data, the peak of GDP was in mid 1970s.

During that time, we also had low national debt and high export/lower import.

We know that we also had high inflation and recession, reportedly.

This does not make sense that we had recession when we had the highest GDP growth during the period with low national debt and low imports.

Economist could put this in right perspective.


Quarterly
(Seasonally adjusted annual rates)

GDP in billions of current dollars GDP in billions of chained 2000 dollars

 
 1947q1	237.2	1,570.5			1947q1	 
 1947q2	240.5	1,568.7	1.4		1947q2	 1.39  
 1947q3	244.6	1,568.0	1.7		1947q3	 1.70  
 1947q4	254.4	1,590.9	4.0		1947q4	 4.01  
 1948q1	260.4	1,616.1	2.4		1948q1	 2.36  
 1948q2	267.3	1,644.6	2.6		1948q2	 2.65  
 1948q3	273.9	1,654.1	2.5		1948q3	 2.47  
 1948q4	275.2	1,658.0	0.5		1948q4	 0.47  
 1949q1	270.0	1,633.2	-1.9		1949q1	 (1.89) 
 1949q2	266.2	1,628.4	-1.4		1949q2	 (1.41) 
 1949q3	267.7	1,646.7	0.6		1949q3	 0.56  
 1949q4	265.2	1,629.9	-0.9		1949q4	 (0.93) 
 1950q1	275.2	1,696.8	3.8		1950q1	 3.77  
 1950q2	284.6	1,747.3	3.4		1950q2	 3.42  
 1950q3	302.0	1,815.8	6.1		1950q3	 6.11  
 1950q4	313.4	1,848.9	3.8		1950q4	 3.77  
 1951q1	329.0	1,871.3	5.0		1951q1	 4.98  
 1951q2	336.7	1,903.1	2.3		1951q2	 2.34  
 1951q3	343.6	1,941.1	2.0		1951q3	 2.05  
 1951q4	348.0	1,944.4	1.3		1951q4	 1.28  
 1952q1	351.3	1,964.7	0.9		1952q1	 0.95  
 1952q2	352.2	1,966.0	0.3		1952q2	 0.26  
 1952q3	358.5	1,978.8	1.8		1952q3	 1.79  
 1952q4	371.4	2,043.8	3.6		1952q4	 3.60  
 1953q1	378.4	2,082.3	1.9		1953q1	 1.88  
 1953q2	382.0	2,098.1	1.0		1953q2	 0.95  
 1953q3	381.1	2,085.4	-0.2		1953q3	 (0.24) 
 1953q4	375.9	2,052.5	-1.4		1953q4	 (1.36) 
 1954q1	375.3	2,042.4	-0.2		1954q1	 (0.16) 
 1954q2	376.0	2,044.3	0.2		1954q2	 0.19  
 1954q3	380.8	2,066.9	1.3		1954q3	 1.28  
 1954q4	389.5	2,107.8	2.3		1954q4	 2.28  
 1955q1	402.6	2,168.5	3.4		1955q1	 3.36  
 1955q2	410.9	2,204.0	2.1		1955q2	 2.06  
 1955q3	419.5	2,233.4	2.1		1955q3	 2.09  
 1955q4	426.0	2,245.3	1.5		1955q4	 1.55  
 1956q1	428.3	2,234.8	0.5		1956q1	 0.54  
 1956q2	434.2	2,252.5	1.4		1956q2	 1.38  
 1956q3	439.3	2,249.8	1.2		1956q3	 1.17  
 1956q4	448.1	2,286.5	2.0		1956q4	 2.00  
 1957q1	457.2	2,300.3	2.0		1957q1	 2.03  
 1957q2	459.2	2,294.6	0.4		1957q2	 0.44  
 1957q3	466.4	2,317.0	1.6		1957q3	 1.57  
 1957q4	461.5	2,292.5	-1.1		1957q4	 (1.05) 
 1958q1	454.0	2,230.2	-1.6		1958q1	 (1.63) 
 1958q2	458.1	2,243.4	0.9		1958q2	 0.90  
 1958q3	471.7	2,295.2	3.0		1958q3	 2.97  
 1958q4	485.0	2,348.0	2.8		1958q4	 2.82  
 1959q1	495.4	2,392.9	2.1		1959q1	 2.14  
 1959q2	508.4	2,455.8	2.6		1959q2	 2.62  
 1959q3	509.3	2,453.9	0.2		1959q3	 0.18  
 1959q4	513.2	2,462.6	0.8		1959q4	 0.77  
 1960q1	526.9	2,517.4	2.7		1960q1	 2.67  
 1960q2	526.1	2,504.8	-0.2		1960q2	 (0.15) 
 1960q3	528.9	2,508.7	0.5		1960q3	 0.53  
 1960q4	523.6	2,476.2	-1.0		1960q4	 (1.00) 
 1961q1	527.9	2,491.2	0.8		1961q1	 0.82  
 1961q2	539.0	2,538.0	2.1		1961q2	 2.10  
 1961q3	549.4	2,579.1	1.9		1961q3	 1.93  
 1961q4	562.5	2,631.8	2.4		1961q4	 2.38  
 1962q1	576.0	2,679.1	2.4		1962q1	 2.40  
 1962q2	583.2	2,708.4	1.3		1962q2	 1.25  
 1962q3	590.0	2,733.3	1.2		1962q3	 1.17  
 1962q4	593.3	2,740.0	0.6		1962q4	 0.56  
 1963q1	602.4	2,775.9	1.5		1963q1	 1.53  
 1963q2	611.2	2,810.6	1.5		1963q2	 1.46  
 1963q3	623.9	2,863.5	2.1		1963q3	 2.08  
 1963q4	633.5	2,885.8	1.5		1963q4	 1.54  
 1964q1	649.6	2,950.5	2.5		1964q1	 2.54  
 1964q2	658.8	2,984.8	1.4		1964q2	 1.42  
 1964q3	670.5	3,025.5	1.8		1964q3	 1.78  
 1964q4	675.6	3,033.6	0.8		1964q4	 0.76  
 1965q1	695.7	3,108.2	3.0		1965q1	 2.98  
 1965q2	708.1	3,150.2	1.8		1965q2	 1.78  
 1965q3	725.2	3,214.1	2.4		1965q3	 2.41  
 1965q4	747.5	3,291.8	3.1		1965q4	 3.08  
 1966q1	770.8	3,372.3	3.1		1966q1	 3.12  
 1966q2	779.9	3,384.0	1.2		1966q2	 1.18  
 1966q3	793.4	3,406.3	1.7		1966q3	 1.73  
 1966q4	807.1	3,433.7	1.7		1966q4	 1.73  
 1967q1	817.9	3,464.1	1.3		1967q1	 1.34  
 1967q2	822.5	3,464.3	0.6		1967q2	 0.56  
 1967q3	837.1	3,491.8	1.8		1967q3	 1.78  
 1967q4	852.8	3,518.2	1.9		1967q4	 1.88  
 1968q1	879.9	3,590.7	3.2		1968q1	 3.18  
 1968q2	904.2	3,651.6	2.8		1968q2	 2.76  
 1968q3	919.4	3,676.5	1.7		1968q3	 1.68  
 1968q4	936.3	3,692.0	1.8		1968q4	 1.84  
 1969q1	961.0	3,750.2	2.6		1969q1	 2.64  
 1969q2	976.3	3,760.9	1.6		1969q2	 1.59  
 1969q3	996.5	3,784.2	2.1		1969q3	 2.07  
 1969q4	1,004.6	3,766.3	0.8		1969q4	 0.81  
 1970q1	1,017.3	3,760.0	1.3		1970q1	 1.26  
 1970q2	1,033.2	3,767.1	1.6		1970q2	 1.56  
 1970q3	1,050.7	3,800.5	1.7		1970q3	 1.69  
 1970q4	1,052.9	3,759.8	0.2		1970q4	 0.21  
 1971q1	1,098.3	3,864.1	4.3		1971q1	 4.31  
 1971q2	1,119.1	3,885.9	1.9		1971q2	 1.89  
 1971q3	1,139.3	3,916.7	1.8		1971q3	 1.81  
 1971q4	1,151.7	3,927.9	1.1		1971q4	 1.09  
 1972q1	1,190.6	3,997.7	3.4		1972q1	 3.38  
 1972q2	1,225.9	4,092.1	3.0		1972q2	 2.96  
 1972q3	1,249.7	4,131.1	1.9		1972q3	 1.94  
 1972q4	1,287.0	4,198.7	3.0		1972q4	 2.98  
 1973q1	1,335.5	4,305.3	3.8		1973q1	 3.77  
 1973q2	1,371.9	4,355.1	2.7		1973q2	 2.73  
 1973q3	1,391.2	4,331.9	1.4		1973q3	 1.41  
 1973q4	1,432.3	4,373.3	3.0		1973q4	 2.95  
 1974q1	1,447.0	4,335.4	1.0		1974q1	 1.03  
 1974q2	1,485.3	4,347.9	2.6		1974q2	 2.65  
 1974q3	1,514.2	4,305.8	1.9		1974q3	 1.95  
 1974q4	1,553.4	4,288.9	2.6		1974q4	 2.59  
 1975q1	1,570.0	4,237.6	1.1		1975q1	 1.07  
 1975q2	1,605.6	4,268.6	2.3		1975q2	 2.27  
 1975q3	1,663.1	4,340.9	3.6		1975q3	 3.58  
 1975q4	1,714.6	4,397.8	3.1		1975q4	 3.10  
 1976q1	1,772.6	4,496.8	3.4		1976q1	 3.38  
 1976q2	1,804.9	4,530.3	1.8		1976q2	 1.82  
 1976q3	1,838.3	4,552.0	1.9		1976q3	 1.85  
 1976q4	1,885.3	4,584.6	2.6		1976q4	 2.56  
 1977q1	1,939.3	4,640.0	2.9		1977q1	 2.86  
 1977q2	2,006.0	4,731.1	3.4		1977q2	 3.44  
 1977q3	2,066.8	4,815.8	3.0		1977q3	 3.03  
 1977q4	2,111.6	4,815.3	2.2		1977q4	 2.17  
 1978q1	2,150.0	4,830.8	1.8		1978q1	 1.82  
 1978q2	2,275.6	5,021.2	5.8		1978q2	 5.84  
 1978q3	2,336.2	5,070.7	2.7		1978q3	 2.66  
 1978q4	2,417.0	5,137.4	3.5		1978q4	 3.46  
 1979q1	2,464.4	5,147.4	2.0		1979q1	 1.96  
 1979q2	2,527.6	5,152.3	2.6		1979q2	 2.56  
 1979q3	2,600.7	5,189.4	2.9		1979q3	 2.89  
 1979q4	2,660.5	5,204.7	2.3		1979q4	 2.30  
 1980q1	2,725.3	5,221.3	2.4		1980q1	 2.44  
 1980q2	2,729.3	5,115.9	0.1		1980q2	 0.15  
 1980q3	2,786.6	5,107.4	2.1		1980q3	 2.10  
 1980q4	2,916.9	5,202.1	4.7		1980q4	 4.68  
 1981q1	3,052.7	5,307.5	4.7		1981q1	 4.66  
 1981q2	3,085.9	5,266.1	1.1		1981q2	 1.09  
 1981q3	3,178.7	5,329.8	3.0		1981q3	 3.01  
 1981q4	3,196.4	5,263.4	0.6		1981q4	 0.56  
 1982q1	3,186.8	5,177.1	-0.3		1982q1	 (0.30) 
 1982q2	3,242.7	5,204.9	1.8		1982q2	 1.75  
 1982q3	3,276.2	5,185.2	1.0		1982q3	 1.03  
 1982q4	3,314.4	5,189.8	1.2		1982q4	 1.17  
 1983q1	3,382.9	5,253.8	2.1		1983q1	 2.07  
 1983q2	3,484.1	5,372.3	3.0		1983q2	 2.99  
 1983q3	3,589.3	5,478.4	3.0		1983q3	 3.02  
 1983q4	3,690.4	5,590.5	2.8		1983q4	 2.82  
 1984q1	3,809.6	5,699.8	3.2		1984q1	 3.23  
 1984q2	3,908.6	5,797.9	2.6		1984q2	 2.60  
 1984q3	3,978.2	5,854.3	1.8		1984q3	 1.78  
 1984q4	4,036.3	5,902.4	1.5		1984q4	 1.46  
 1985q1	4,119.5	5,956.9	2.1		1985q1	 2.06  
 1985q2	4,178.4	6,007.8	1.4		1985q2	 1.43  
 1985q3	4,261.3	6,101.7	2.0		1985q3	 1.98  
 1985q4	4,321.8	6,148.6	1.4		1985q4	 1.42  
 1986q1	4,385.6	6,207.4	1.5		1986q1	 1.48  
 1986q2	4,425.7	6,232.0	0.9		1986q2	 0.91  
 1986q3	4,493.9	6,291.7	1.5		1986q3	 1.54  
 1986q4	4,546.1	6,323.4	1.2		1986q4	 1.16  
 1987q1	4,613.8	6,365.0	1.5		1987q1	 1.49  
 1987q2	4,690.0	6,435.0	1.7		1987q2	 1.65  
 1987q3	4,767.8	6,493.4	1.7		1987q3	 1.66  
 1987q4	4,886.3	6,606.8	2.5		1987q4	 2.49  
 1988q1	4,951.9	6,639.1	1.3		1988q1	 1.34  
 1988q2	5,062.8	6,723.5	2.2		1988q2	 2.24  
 1988q3	5,146.6	6,759.4	1.7		1988q3	 1.66  
 1988q4	5,253.7	6,848.6	2.1		1988q4	 2.08  
 1989q1	5,367.1	6,918.1	2.2		1989q1	 2.16  
 1989q2	5,454.1	6,963.5	1.6		1989q2	 1.62  
 1989q3	5,531.9	7,013.1	1.4		1989q3	 1.43  
 1989q4	5,584.3	7,030.9	0.9		1989q4	 0.95  
 1990q1	5,716.4	7,112.1	2.4		1990q1	 2.37  
 1990q2	5,797.7	7,130.3	1.4		1990q2	 1.42  
 1990q3	5,849.4	7,130.8	0.9		1990q3	 0.89  
 1990q4	5,848.8	7,076.9	0.0		1990q4	 (0.01) 
 1991q1	5,888.0	7,040.8	0.7		1991q1	 0.67  
 1991q2	5,964.3	7,086.5	1.3		1991q2	 1.30  
 1991q3	6,035.6	7,120.7	1.2		1991q3	 1.20  
 1991q4	6,095.8	7,154.1	1.0		1991q4	 1.00  
 1992q1	6,196.1	7,228.2	1.6		1992q1	 1.65  
 1992q2	6,290.1	7,297.9	1.5		1992q2	 1.52  
 1992q3	6,380.5	7,369.5	1.4		1992q3	 1.44  
 1992q4	6,484.3	7,450.7	1.6		1992q4	 1.63  
 1993q1	6,542.7	7,459.7	0.9		1993q1	 0.90  
 1993q2	6,612.1	7,497.5	1.1		1993q2	 1.06  
 1993q3	6,674.6	7,536.0	0.9		1993q3	 0.95  
 1993q4	6,800.2	7,637.4	1.9		1993q4	 1.88  
 1994q1	6,911.0	7,715.1	1.6		1994q1	 1.63  
 1994q2	7,030.6	7,815.7	1.7		1994q2	 1.73  
 1994q3	7,115.1	7,859.5	1.2		1994q3	 1.20  
 1994q4	7,232.2	7,951.6	1.6		1994q4	 1.65  
 1995q1	7,298.3	7,973.7	0.9		1995q1	 0.91  
 1995q2	7,337.7	7,988.0	0.5		1995q2	 0.54  
 1995q3	7,432.1	8,053.1	1.3		1995q3	 1.29  
 1995q4	7,522.5	8,112.0	1.2		1995q4	 1.22  
 1996q1	7,624.1	8,169.2	1.4		1996q1	 1.35  
 1996q2	7,776.6	8,303.1	2.0		1996q2	 2.00  
 1996q3	7,866.2	8,372.7	1.2		1996q3	 1.15  
 1996q4	8,000.4	8,470.6	1.7		1996q4	 1.71  
 1997q1	8,113.8	8,536.1	1.4		1997q1	 1.42  
 1997q2	8,250.4	8,665.8	1.7		1997q2	 1.68  
 1997q3	8,381.9	8,773.7	1.6		1997q3	 1.59  
 1997q4	8,471.2	8,838.4	1.1		1997q4	 1.07  
 1998q1	8,586.7	8,936.2	1.4		1998q1	 1.36  
 1998q2	8,657.9	8,995.3	0.8		1998q2	 0.83  
 1998q3	8,789.5	9,098.9	1.5		1998q3	 1.52  
 1998q4	8,953.8	9,237.1	1.9		1998q4	 1.87  
 1999q1	9,066.6	9,315.5	1.3		1999q1	 1.26  
 1999q2	9,174.1	9,392.6	1.2		1999q2	 1.19  
 1999q3	9,313.5	9,502.2	1.5		1999q3	 1.52  
 1999q4	9,519.5	9,671.1	2.2		1999q4	 2.21  
 2000q1	9,629.4	9,695.6	1.2		2000q1	 1.15  
 2000q2	9,822.8	9,847.9	2.0		2000q2	 2.01  
 2000q3	9,862.1	9,836.6	0.4		2000q3	 0.40  
 2000q4	9,953.6	9,887.7	0.9		2000q4	 0.93  
 2001q1	10,021.5	9,875.6	0.7		2001q1	 0.68  
 2001q2	10,128.9	9,905.9	1.1		2001q2	 1.07  
 2001q3	10,135.1	9,871.1	0.1		2001q3	 0.06  
 2001q4	10,226.3	9,910.0	0.9		2001q4	 0.90  
 2002q1	10,333.3	9,977.3	1.0		2002q1	 1.05  
 2002q2	10,426.6	10,031.6	0.9		2002q2	 0.90  
 2002q3	10,527.4	10,090.7	1.0		2002q3	 0.97  
 2002q4	10,591.1	10,095.8	0.6		2002q4	 0.61  
 2003q1	10,705.6	10,126.0	1.1		2003q1	 1.08  
 2003q2	10,831.8	10,212.7	1.2		2003q2	 1.18  
 2003q3	11,086.1	10,398.7	2.3		2003q3	 2.35  
 2003q4	11,219.5	10,467.0	1.2		2003q4	 1.20  
 2004q1	11,405.5	10,543.6	1.7		2004q1	 1.66  
 2004q2	11,610.3	10,634.2	1.8		2004q2	 1.80  
 2004q3	11,779.4	10,728.7	1.5		2004q3	 1.46  
 2004q4	11,948.5	10,796.4	1.4		2004q4	 1.44  
 2005q1	12,154.0	10,878.4	1.7		2005q1	 1.72  
 2005q2	12,317.4	10,954.1	1.3		2005q2	 1.34  
 2005q3	12,558.8	11,074.3	2.0		2005q3	 1.96  
 2005q4	12,705.5	11,107.2	1.2		2005q4	 1.17  
 2006q1	12,964.6	11,238.7	2.0		2006q1	 2.04  
 2006q2	13,155.0	11,306.7	1.5		2006q2	 1.47  
 2006q3	13,266.9	11,336.7	0.9		2006q3	 0.85  
 2006q4	13,392.3	11,395.5	0.9		2006q4	 0.95  
 2007q1	13,551.9	11,412.6	1.2		2007q1	 1.19  
 2007q2	13,768.8	11,520.1	1.6		2007q2	 1.60  
 2007q3	13,967.3	11,659.3	1.4		2007q3	 1.44