My points, and conclusions, stand on the historical evidence.
Bottom-line: Don't trade an announcement of an end to a war to the downside - long or short-term.
Some Historical Dates for you to chart against.
WW II War end May, 1945.
WW I War end Nov, 1918
Korean War end July, 1953. Truce in July 1951.
Vietnam War end March, 1975. (Gerald Ford)
Now tell me you trade either the long or short-term "war end" periods to the downside?
Back to your charts, me thinketh?
JL