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heptikus

08/19/07 3:28 PM

#10381 RE: 5by5 #10377

Ok 5...here's a scenario. It's a future earnings and fundamental scenario. Wareagle posted an excellent scenario some time ago on this, maybe you can find that one too.

Let's say that AAGH announces ad contracts valued at $50k/min and they plan to run 15 minutes of ads per hour show. That's $750k gross per show. Take half out for expenses = $375k. AAGH keeps 42% = $157,500 x 104 shows = $16.3MM net in 12 months. Divide that by the number of O/S = .09 eps x maybe a 15 PE = $1.35. This doesn't include their other businesses. Of course we could see anything along the way, but I think this is a conservative view at this point. I think everyone here would be happy with half of this possible result in the near term. If they also announce another show, or an Olympics contract then it would get better. How's that work for you?