Nobody here knows anything for sure and nobody pretends he does. It's the exchange of ideas and thoughts. If you don't like it or value it - nobody forces you to.
But any investor should understand what types of events are forseeable and what are not.
I did think that $18ish would be the low. That was based on the AWE theory. But, I was wrong and also at the same time gave that fibo chart showing all the downside potential and even said the other day that 2nd waves have a nasty habit of doing 75% pullbacks.