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Replies to post #155 on BullRaid

Replies to #155 on BullRaid
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flota

07/27/07 12:11 PM

#156 RE: MMG #155

Friday , July 27, 2007 03:12ET

By Staff Reporter
BEIJING, Jul 27, 2007 (XFN-ASIA via COMTEX) -- Houston-based Far East Energy Corp (BULLETIN BOARD: FEEC) plans to double its investment in coal-bed methane exploration in China over the next two years, the official Caijing magazine reported.
Michael McElwrath, CEO and President of Far East, was quoted as saying that over the past two years the company had invested 35 mln usd on several coal bed methane projects in central Shanxi province and southwestern Yunnan province.
Last month Far East said it has received final approval from the Ministry of Commerce to extend by two years the exploration period for its coal-bed methane production sharing contracts.
The exploration period will be extended until June 30, 2009 for the Shouyan and Qinnan coal bed methane projects in Shanxi.
The exploration period for the Enhong and Laochang coal bed methane projects in Yunnan will also be extended until June 30, 2009.
The 500,00-acre Qinnan Block is near the West-East Pipeline to Shanghai.
Far East explored the areas with partner China United Coalbed Methane Corp, which was set up in 1996 to produce natural gas from coal. China National Petroleum Corp has a 50 pct share in China United Coalbed Methane.
China's reserves of coal-bed methane are estimated at 36 trln cubic meters, similar to the reserve levels for natural gas, according to official data.
kelly.zang@xfn.com

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flota

07/27/07 1:00 PM

#157 RE: MMG #155

DIVX nice bounce today.
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flota

08/01/07 11:26 AM

#158 RE: MMG #155

this is what SLT will do in couple years, if metal prices go up or stay the same.

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flota

08/01/07 12:01 PM

#159 RE: MMG #155

nice write up

Jon Markman
Jul 23, 2007 9:48 am




When it's time to name this decade with an arch moniker, like the "Swingin' '60s" or the "Roarin' '20s", investors will probably vote for something like the "Ore '00s". For the most salient feature of this ten-year span so far has been the unprecedented rise in the value of natural resources and the companies and countries that produce and refine them.

Whether you're talking about coal, titanium, aluminum, iron, copper, lead or zinc, the base elements have been elevated to the top of the heap amid ravenous demand by emerging markets for the sort of raw materials that fuel factories, power grids and highways.

While China is the poster child for this phenomenon, we should absolutely not forget about India. It too has a massive population and is determined to enjoy rapid industrialization and urbanization throughout the country. India is growing a whopping 9% per year, and I have been recommending one of its leading lights to clients lately: the little-known copper, zinc and aluminum powerhouse Sterlite Industries (SLT). The company's corporate structure is a little arcane, but basically it is a separately traded unit of the United Kingdom-based mining conglomerate Vedanta, which also has major operations in Australia and Zambia.


Click here to enlarge.

Sterlite is primarily known in India as a leading copper refiner and smelter, but after a recent deal it has also absorbed 91% of the country's leading zinc miner and refiner, Hindustan Zinc. You may know of zinc as primarily a dietary supplement or sunblock, but a much heavier version of the resource now accounts for a third of Sterlite's revenue and 70% of its earnings.

The zinc that Sterlite produces is primarily used to coat steel for protection against corrosion, a process called galvanization. Galvanized steel is used in structures that range from automobile bodies to skyscrapers, all of which are in great demand now in the region as the Chinese and Indian economies grow at a rapid pace. On the commodities futures market, zinc prices have more than tripled over the last three years while inventories have dwindled, though they’ve stalled a bit lately.

Worldwide, zinc consumption grew 5% last year, and it is set to grow another 4.5% in 2007 and 2008. With marginal higher-cost mines being restarted, it will be difficult for supply to catch up with the shortages of skilled labor and equipment plaguing the entire mining industry. So, as demand grows, zinc prices are going to continue to rise, which is great news for producers like Sterlite. The company's Hindustan Zinc unit operates a mine and three smelters in northwestern India and is currently exploring a 6,000 square mile area, which could boost its reserves by as much as 25%.

Total zinc capacity currently stands at approximately 400,000 tons annually, but the company has a number of expansion projects underway that will help boost production. Goldman Sachs analysts expect Hindustan's zinc volume to grow 21% next year, while Macquarie analysts see volume up as much as 50% by 2009. Macquarie also sees substantial increase in the company’s copper and aluminum smelting capacity and production volume as well. Since its facilities are very efficient, considered among the top 10% in the world in terms of cost effectiveness, the company should have little problem meeting expectations.

Last month, Sterlite sold $2 bln worth of shares in the United States to finance its buyout of the Indian government's stake in Hindustan Zinc. That opened the door for me to buy into this classic Asian growth story. If you cock your head a bit and squint your eyes, you can envision how it could turn out to be a mini version of India-born steel titan Arcelor Mittal (MT), which has done very well for my portfolios in the past year, rising 100%. Other comparable global base metals plays include BHP Billiton (BHP), Freeport McMoRan (FCX), Teck Cominco (TCK) and Century Aluminum (CENX).

I will have more to say about Sterlite in the future, including details about its large copper business. For now, the stock continues to look like a solid play on global metal demand for my 2008 target of $22. Set stop at around $16.25 in case of trouble.

http://www.minyanville.com/articles/gs-mt-bhp-fcx-tck-cenx-zinc-india-china-slt/index/a/13425/from/y...
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flota

08/01/07 11:22 PM

#160 RE: MMG #155

How One Firm Mined the Student-Loan Mess
Tiny MyRichUncle Draws
New Clients After Taking On
College Financial-Aid System
By ANNE MARIE CHAKER
August 2, 2007

In recent weeks, a relatively small student-loan company has taken out ads in major newspapers including USA Today and California's Orange County Register, touting itself as "conflict free." Those words in the ad are surrounded by a collage of newspaper headlines about recent revelations about conflicts of interest in the student-loan industry.

The ad is by MRU Holdings Inc., better known as New York-based MyRichUncle, and it comes exactly one year after the maverick lender took out a string of strongly worded ads that some credit with having sparked investigations into questionable relationships between colleges and lenders. A number of lenders had allegedly been offering incentives to university's financial-aid officials in exchange for getting on the "preferred lender lists" that schools hand out to prospective student borrowers.

Now, with families' trust in their college financial-aid officials broken, more people are looking to alternative resources for student loans, such as Internet search engines and lenders that pitch directly to the consumer. And many of them are turning specifically to MyRichUncle.

The company says calls from customers increased 87% last month from a year earlier. A spokeswoman declined to disclose the actual numbers of queries it gets or loans it provides. But the company says originations of its main private-student-loan product more than doubled in the fiscal year ended June 30, compared with a year earlier. And federal loan applications in just the past month have more than tripled. MyRichUncle "is a beneficiary of consumers exercising their choice to shop around," says Vishal Garg, chief financial officer.

Regulators caution that borrowers still must be vigilant and not assume they are getting the best deal by avoiding college financial-aid offices. The office of New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, which conducted intense probes of schools' preferred-lender lists, says it has now begun looking into Internet-based and direct-to-consumer marketing practices, too. "We need to ensure that we rid not only the preferred-lender list of conflicts, but also eliminate any deceptive practices taking place on the direct-marketing side," says Benjamin Lawsky, deputy counselor and special assistant to the New York attorney general, who declined to name any specific companies being targeted.

Amid all this, MyRichUncle -- which says it hasn't been contacted by Mr. Cuomo's office -- made a name for itself in a short period of time. It had been carving out a promising niche by promoting its competitively priced products directly to the consumer. But it has yet to make a profit. It was the newspaper ads last year targeting preferred-lender lists that brought the company national attention.

Such lists were a long-established practice whereby colleges steered students toward specific lenders. Financial-aid officers have said the practice helps whittle down the confusing array of choices in the marketplace. As a result, the vast majority of students end up borrowing from one of the listed lenders, even though they don't necessarily offer the best deals.

One of the MRU ads called the relationships between schools and lenders a "racket." Another said more pointedly, "Before you choose, ask your financial aid office about the lenders on their preferred lender list. Ask if any of these lenders offered kickbacks or incentives to get on the list."

By taking aim at financial-aid officers, who form an important link to customers, MyRichUncle was taking a big risk. And indeed, reaction was swift and sharp. At the University of the South in Sewanee, Tenn., financial aid director David Gelinas sent an email to a MyRichUncle representative, saying: "Please do not visit or contact me." The University of Mississippi's financial-aid director, Dewey Knight, sent an email to a MyRichUncle sales representative, saying he would "not receive or certify loan requests from your company."

Lisa Cain, whose daughter is attending a private college in Boston, says that the school's financial-aid office resisted when she said she was considering MyRichUncle. She had received a list of recommended lenders from the college, but decided to shop around as she began noticing headlines about schools' cozy relationships with banks. The administrative assistant in Tequesta, Fla., ultimately, she chose MRU over the objections of the school, and says she has been pleased.

"The bottom line is, this is a lot of money," says Ms. Cain. "I need to go with the best interest rate."

Attorney General Cuomo's probe into colleges' lending arrangements has led over two dozen schools, including Columbia University in New York and Drexel University in Philadelphia, to settle claims of deceptive trade practices involving undisclosed payments from lenders. Financial-aid officials at some of the best-known schools in the country have lost their jobs for taking stock or other payments from student-loan firms. And some of the biggest student-loan firms have reached settlements with Mr. Cuomo's office, totaling about $14 million.

Just yesterday, Mr. Cuomo announced that he subpoenaed 40 universities as his investigation expands to possible deals between university athletic departments and student-loan companies.

MyRichUncle was founded by two former classmates at New York's Stuyvesant High School. Raza Khan and Mr. Garg, both 29, are children of Indian immigrants who grew up in the city's Queens borough. Both attended New York University on scholarships and started on their career paths -- separately -- from their dorm rooms. Mr. Garg traded stocks for a hedge fund. Mr. Khan built Web sites for companies.

They came together again on MyRichUncle, which floundered in its first few years. The venture launched in 2001 with a novel investment idea: matching student borrowers with an investor -- "a rich uncle." But it didn't take off. Then the founders noticed opportunity in one segment of student loans, those that aren't backed by the federal government. Because federal law limits what students can borrow through less-expensive government-backed loans, rising tuition costs are forcing more students to borrow from private lenders. This market has more than tripled in the past five years, to $17.3 billion, according to the New York-based College Board.

The company went public in 2004, entered the private-loan market in 2005 and a year later unveiled a niche private loan. Using a pricing model they believed could predict a student's future ability to pay, they targeted students who were being denied traditional private loans. These were students who didn't have a co-signer or whose parents had bad or no credit history -- for instance, recent immigrants. They took into account such metrics as grades, major and school attended. No parent co-signer would be required, and the interest rate was based on a future ability to pay.

Last June, MyRichUncle entered the federal-student-loan business, but with a twist. Most lenders offer popular federally backed student loans at interest rates that are set by the government -- currently 6.8% on the most common program, known as a Stafford loan, and 8.5% on the Parent Loan for Undergraduate Students, or PLUS.

To draw business, many lenders discount those rates after a certain number of on-time payments. But because young borrowers often slip up, many don't qualify for the discounts. MyRichUncle offers a steep discount on those rates from the get-go -- 5.8% for Stafford and 6.75% for PLUS (though still charging an origination fee -- totaling 1.5% of the original principal balance -- which other lenders might waive).

Another twist: The product would be marketed directly to students, and not through schools' financial-aid offices. But its larger rivals had a near lock on prospective borrowers, via the college preferred-lender lists.

So the company took out its now-notorious ads in major national newspapers. One ad that ran last summer said, "You need to know that going through your financial aid office may cost you a premium. The only way to be sure you're getting the best rate is to go direct."

Following the widely publicized lending investigations, officials at MyRichUncle say they feel vindicated. The company is still hemorrhaging money. In the six months ended Dec. 31, 2006, its net loss was $17.6 million, compared with $10.6 million a year earlier. But Mr. Khan says those losses are narrowing as it builds its portfolio.

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flota

08/05/07 1:39 PM

#161 RE: MMG #155

hinese real estate IPO should price high
Sun Aug 5, 2007 11:19AM EDT

By Helen Chernikoff

NEW YORK, Aug 5 (Reuters) - A Chinese real estate services company may beat its own hopes of raising $226.8 million in its initial public offering in the United States this week on the strength of soaring Chinese property prices and despite recent stock market volatility there, analysts said.

Shanghai-based E-House (China) Holdings Ltd, the 13th Chinese company to launch an IPO this year on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq, has filed to sell 16.8 million American Depositary Shares under the symbol "EJ" (EJ.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on the New York Stock Exchange.

The anticipated price range is $11.50 to $13.50 per ADS, with each representing one common share.

The company is a primarily a residential real estate brokerage with 1,800 employees in 20 cities that also provides consulting and information services.

E-House is the market leader and the first Chinese real estate services company to make its debut on U.S. exchanges, analysts said.

That makes it a natural choice for investors interested in profiting from the breakneck pace of economic growth in China, whose housing market is the polar opposite of the the slumping one in the United States.

Chinese real estate prices nationwide have risen 26 percent this year on average and over 30 percent in major cities, said Benjamin Wey, president of investment bank and consulting firm New York Global Group, which specializes in China-related advising.

"(E-House) produces good income statements," said Francis Gaskins, president of independent research firm IPOdesktop.com. "It's an easy, visible way to play growth in China in an easily understandable market."

Given the appeal of Chinese real estate, E-House should price at the top of its range and could easily trade at a premium on its scheduled IPO date of Aug. 7, said Gaskins and William Wilson, an analyst at Boulder, Colorado-based Morningnotes.com.

The stock will trade higher than $15 on its first day and could reach $25, Wey said.

Offerings from China were especially hot in the final months of 2006 due to the country's prospects for continued rapid development fueled by its massive population.

Then a 9 percent, one-day drop in February on China's main Shanghai Composite (.SSEC: Quote, Profile, Research) index scared some away from Chinese offerings on the United States exchanges, Wilson said.

But the specter of Chinese market volatility probably will not darken E-House's debut because Chinese stock market uncertainty simply drives more people into real estate, viewed by the Chinese as relatively safe and stable, Wilson said.

IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE?

Not every recent Chinese IPO has fared as well as analysts think E-House will, however.

Excessively high initial valuations have doomed some offerings to lackluster performance later, Wey said.

Xinhua Finance Media Ltd (XFML.O: Quote, Profile, Research) is a prime example of this phenomenon, Wey said.

The media and advertising company offered shares at $13 in March, but has tumbled 45 percent since then.

Of the seven companies that staged offerings in May, June and July on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, the shares of four are down.

With a likely initial market capitalization of about $932.6 million, E-House falls in the middle of recent Chinese IPO's size range. LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) made its debut with a projected market capitalization of about $2.72 billion, while China Sunergy Co Ltd's (CSUN.O: Quote, Profile, Research) initial market capitalization was about $435.1 million.

But analysts said they are not worried that E-House is overvalued.

E-House's strong financials indicate skilled management, Gaskins said.

The company's revenue rose 79 percent to $56 million between 2004 and 2006 and its net income was $18.1 million in 2006 compared with $5.6 million in 2004.

Even E-House, however, is not without risk, Wey said.

One of the company's foremost advantages is its special relationships with local developers under which it not only receives the exclusive right to represent properties, but also buys as much as 20 percent of them in a risky strategy that has proven exceptionally rewarding, Wey said.

But more sophisticated multinational companies such as Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. (JLL.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Century21 are already becoming formidable competition to E-House, Wey said.

Also, real estate in China cannot continue to grow at its current pace forever, he said. The government already has policies in place to restrict prices and could tax real estate brokers and agencies.

"This industry can get chilled very quickly," Wey said.
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flota

08/10/07 1:02 PM

#162 RE: MMG #155

MMG,

WZEN back on watch, they have a lot of going on in the next year. earnings report pretty much sucked but these are the slowest months for them.

http://www.knobias.com/research.pdf?id=11576

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=15241491
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flota

08/20/07 3:44 PM

#163 RE: MMG #155

WZEN looking nice today.