Replies to post #10571 on The Black Box

[wahz]

I am really having problems adjusting my thinking back and forth like that(stock picks/indices) The answer is yes, but I am not thinking that way so not real confident.

an example: off the low in april 1942, the market charged up for 13 months, paused for about 5, and then charged up for another year. There is no doubt that this could happen. I want to stay flexible on the averages

[wahz]

df, I don't have as low as 1900 in that scenario but here was my latest...

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1/7/04


I have a new scenario:

we rise ~10% more, peaking in, of all things, FEB at around 2250-2300. We then correct, and first drop to the 200 day in late April at around 1980. We bounce but then drop and slide to the 300 day at 1950-1970 in late June. Those figures are about right although that might not seem right. We fiddle fart around and the 300 day doesn't hold either, but we don't go below 1930, and then we go nuclear in August, exploding to 2600 by late Jan 05

its PERFECT, I tell ya, Perfect...it all fits


so we'll see. Hell I might even short buy some ultra short crap fund if we go to 2300, and look like we are following this