Replies to post #21841 on Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD)

[sgolds]

kpf, Dothan, Prescott and 64-bit -

First, if Intel wanted to make a Dothan successor with AMD64 inside, they probably could have it in the market for early to mid 2005. Implementing the registers, instructions and address lines seems to be the easiest part of developing K8. SOI and HT seemed to be bigger hardware efforts.

Second, Intel has the luxury of lot of money and the lion's share of the x86 market. They are already dividing that share between two totally different products - P4 and Pentium-M. I did not intend to give the impression that Intel would simply drop the P4 (that is not how these things work). Rather, their best strategy is to migrate the market to Dothan-based product over time, still milking the P4 for the features it supports well (until a Dothan successor can offer those features). Under this scenerio there would be a two year overlap between the products while the P4 is phased out.

So if Intel were to start marketing a quiet desktop configuration with Dothan in mid 2004 then it would take until mid 2006 before that line could fully replace the P4.

I guess I should be more explicit when making such speculations. It is a bad assumption to think that the reader will automatically fill in the needed development time.