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sgolds

12/29/03 10:40 AM

#21674 RE: yourbankruptcy #21672

yourbankruptcy, it is to my advantage that earnings is after expiration because of the traditional runup leading into earnings. If I hold that far then I am behind the 8-ball, though, because I'd rather look for the stock to go up a couple of points (maybe challenge that 18+ recent high) in the first half of January.

Expect AMD to experience profit-taking after the earnings announcement, no matter what they say. It is one of the most predictable things about this stock.

Soon after the 1st, maybe Monday or Tuesday, there will be a window for AMD to correct guidance. This will happen only if results are well out of the bounds of guidance, high or low. If they pre-announce low then I just pissed away money this morning. If the pre-announce high then there can be a rapid runup and I am sitting pretty. Both of these scenerios are less likely than silence, and the runup on rumors as earnings approach. It is on that expectation that I bought this morning.

One other thing - January is traditionally a bullish month for the market. If this happens again next month then we are all riding on a rising tide. Not a time to be bearish on the market, if history is a guide.
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HailMary

12/29/03 10:47 AM

#21675 RE: yourbankruptcy #21672

Where are you guys seeing that the earnings announcement is after options expiration? The schedule I saw was for earnings on the 15th. Last day of trading before expiration is the 16th.

AMD does not appear to have officially set the earnings announcement date...unless I am missing something.

It would be highly unusual for earnings to come a week later.

I'll admit I'm long some Jan call options, but I have long since written them off as a loss (I might even sell them this week for whatever I can get), so it isn't a huge deal to me unless I decide to make another play.