The rising frequency and seriousness of potential global challenges, ranging from climate change to cybercrime, secures the insurance industry’s ability to act as a financial cushion. According to Deloitte, insurers realizing the need to proactively prevent losses from occurring in the initial stages is driving the industry’s growth.
After experiencing a positive shift in its trend in the second half of last year, the U.S. property and casualty industry has continued with its robust momentum entering 2024. Significant premium increases, a slowdown in the growth of claims costs and improved investment returns have all had a beneficial effect on the sector, giving a boost to profitability.
The S&P Insurance Select Industry Index has gained 8.54% over the past year, as of 17 Jan 2024, compared to the broader S&P 500 Financials Index, which added about 3.82% over the past year.
Growth in Digits
According to Swiss Re, the industry ROE is estimated to surge to 9.5% in 2024 and reach 10% in 2025, hinting at a substantial increase from the 5% recorded in 2023, backed by robust premium growth and reduced inflationary pressures. Estimates for ROE are supported by solid premium growth expectations of 7% and 4.5% for 2024 and 2025, respectively.
Combined ratio, a comprehensive measure of an insurance company’s profitability, used to evaluate how well the company is operating on a daily basis, is anticipated to improve significantly. The ratio is projected to be 98.5% for both 2024 and 2025, implying a notable improvement from the estimated 103% for 2023. A ratio below 100% signifies that the company is realizing an underwriting profit.
Direct premium written (DPW), which represents the growth of a company’s insurance business during a particular period, is forecast to grow at 7% in 2024, indicating an upward revision from 5.5% in 2023.
Industry’s Anticipated Earnings Success
According to Factset, the insurance industry is expected to be the primary driver of positive year-over-year earnings growth for the financial sector, growing by a staggering 26%. Year-on-year earnings growth at the sub-industry level is led by the property & casualty insurance, growing at 48%, followed by reinsurance (30%) and multi-line insurance (17%).
Seventeen out of the top 20 insurers trading on major U.S. exchanges experienced an uptick in market capitalization during the fourth quarter of 2023, per S&P Global Market Intelligence, with most insurers exhibiting increases of 6% or more.
According to Zacks Earnings Trend, Insurance - Multi Line and Insurance - Property And Casualty have a growth rate of 8.04% and 8.02%, respectively.
ETFs in Focus
Below, we highlight a few insurance ETFs for investors to capitalize on the industry’s continuing momentum.
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE)
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF seeks to track the performance of the S&P Insurance Select Industry Index with a basket of 48 securities. The fund has amassed an asset base of $738.17 million and charges an annual fee of 0.35%.
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF has a major exposure of 50.43% in property and casualty insurance, followed by life and health insurance, with a share of 24.84% of its assets. The fund has gained 6.78% over the past three months and 12.12% over the past year.
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (IAK)
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF seeks to track the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Insurance Index, with a basket of 55 securities. The fund has gathered an asset base of $476.5 million and charges an annual fee of 0.40%.
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF has major exposure of 67.88% in property and casualty insurance, followed by life and health insurance, with a share of 24.13% of its assets. The fund has gained 9.67% over the past three months and 11.22% over the past year.
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF seeks to track the KBW Nasdaq Property & Casualty Index, with a basket of 26 securities. The fund has amassed an asset base of $200.9 million and charges an annual fee of 0.35%.
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF has an exposure of 60.09% in large-cap securities. The fund has gained 8.01% over the past three months and 7.06% over the past year.
News 
Market Data 
Discover 
