'I personally do not need ANY credibility for my posts'.
Effectively and you have none either BECAUSE ALL YOU KNOW IS PAST HISTORICAL FACTS).
You sound like someone predicting the next card (out of 52) after only 30 or 35 have been out. You sound like someone who says: I know what the next card will be because I saw those that came out already. The fact of the matter is you have a chance out of 17 to be right.
The player you try to convince hope the next card will be the one that will make him win. He also have one chance out of 17.
The difference is the guy on the sideline will not win anything if his prediction is right but the player will make a lot if his card comes out.
The only important thing however is that the player should not nave over extended himslf in his bidding.
Low odds, high potential ... The rest is BS. If one doesn't like it he should just stay away from the game.
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