Bigworld, Yes, the market does seem to be ahead of itself, considering all the potential landmines out there. Powell is determined to not repeat the 'Volker mistake' of backing off too soon, so he'll probably keep pushing until something big breaks in the financial system.. And who knows, that may be the plan -- to produce a crisis that forces a rapid adoption of the unpopular CBDC as the 'solution'. Ed Dowd has proposed that general scenario for 2024.
Cash and T-Bills are paying 5% or more, so a good alternative to stocks right now. And longer term, being over-weighted in hard assets seems like the way to go -- paid-for real estate, metals, etc. I'd still like to have a modest stock allocation, say 10-20%, but no sense watching the recent gains evaporate imo.
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