Replies to post #36 on Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)

[Enterprising Investor]

AQNU may be superior to AQN.

AQNU is scheduled to pay $3.875 in dividends vs $0.434 for the common. It is convertible into 8.3333 shares.

Please that AQNU at $29.26 today trades, which equates to a conversion value of $8.78. The common was trading at $8.28.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Equity Units Due 06/15/2024
Ticker Symbol: AQNU CUSIP: 015857873 Exchange: NYSE
Security Type: Mandatory Convertible Security

QUANTUMONLINE.COM SECURITY DESCRIPTION: Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Equity Units, stated amount $50 per unit, initially consisting of Corporate Units which include a stock purchase contract due 06/15/2024 and a 1/20 undivided beneficial ownership interest in a 1.18% remarketable senior notes due 2026 with a principal amount of $1000.00.

The stock purchase contract requires the holder to purchase for $50 a variable number of shares of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (NYSE:AQN) common stock no later than 06/15/2024 and pays a contract adjustment rate of 6.57% per annum. The stock purchase settlement rate will be 2.7778 shares per unit if the then current market price is equal to or greater than $18.00 and 3.3333 shares per unit if the market price is equal to or less than $15.00. For market prices between those values the settlement rate will be $50 divided by the market value. Prior to the IPO of this security, the last reported sale price of the common stock on 06/15/2021 was $16.08 per share. The stock purchase contract may be settled any time at the holder’s option and the company will deliver 2.7778 shares of common stock for each purchase contract.

The 1.18% remarketable senior notes due 2026 is due 06/15/2026 and is subject to reset and remarketing between 03/13/2024 and 05/30/2024, with a final remarketing in a five day period ending on 06/13/2024. The 1.18% remarketable senior notes due 2026 are pledged as collateral to secure the holder's obligations under the stock purchase contract.

The Corporate Units pay quarterly distributions of 7.75% ($3.875 per annum on 3/15, 6/15, 9/15 & 12/15 to holders of record on the record date which will be 3/1, 6/1, 9/1, & 12/1 prior to the payment date (NOTE: the ex-dividend date is one business day prior to the record date).

Distributions paid by these securities are derived from interest paid on the underlying debt securities and therefore are NOT eligible for the preferential 15% to 20% tax rate on dividends and are also NOT eligible for the dividend received deduction for corporate holders.

The holder has the right at any time to convert the Corporate Units to Tresury Units by the substitution of a specified zero-coupon U.S. Treasury security for the 1.18% remarketable senior notes due 2026 and to later recreate Corporate Units.

The 1.18% remarketable senior notes due 2026 are unsecured and rank equally with the company's other unsecured senior indebtedness. This security was Not rated by Moody’s and Rated BB+ by S&P at the date of its IPO. See the IPO prospectus for extensive additional information on the equity units and their mandatory conversion provisions.

[Enterprising Investor]

Starboard Sends Letter to Algonquin Power & Utilities Regarding Opportunities to Enhance Shareholder Value (7/06/23)

Believes a Properly Executed Sale of All or a Substantial Majority of the Company's Unregulated Renewables Business can Accelerate Efforts to Delever, Lower the Dividend Payout Ratio and Restore Investor Confidence

Delivers Specific Suggestions to Help Guide Algonquin's Publicly Disclosed Review Process for the Unregulated Renewables Business

Looks Forward to Continuing to Constructively Engage with the Board and its Strategic Review Committee

NEW YORK, July 6, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Starboard Value LP today issued the below letter to Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. regarding opportunities to enhance shareholder value.

July 6, 2023

Kenneth Moore, Chair
Christopher Huskilson, Strategic Review Committee Chair
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
354 Davis Road
Oakville, Ontario
Canada L6J 2X1

CC: Board of Directors
Arun Banskota, President and Chief Executive Officer
Darren Myers, Chief Financial Officer

Dear Chris and Ken,

Starboard Value LP (together with its affiliates, "Starboard" or "we") recently filed a Schedule 13D disclosing an economic ownership stake of approximately 7.5% in Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. ("Algonquin" or the "Company"), making us the Company's largest shareholder. We appreciate the time that members of the Board of Directors (the "Board") and management have spent with us over the past several months.

As we have discussed, we believe Algonquin's Regulated Services Group is a top tier regulated utility that is currently valued at a substantial implied discount to peers pro forma for a potential sale of all or a substantial majority of the Company's unregulated renewables assets. Even without Algonquin's unregulated renewables business (the "Renewable Energy Group"), Algonquin is significantly greener than peers, with approximately one-third of its electric generation capacity coming from renewables and no coal exposure, compared to an average of 26% for its regulated utility peers1. Moreover, approximately 20% of Algonquin's rate base comes from its extremely valuable Regulated Water Reclamation and Distribution business (the "Water Utility"), which generally trade at double the multiples of Electric and Gas utilities2, compared to approximately zero water distribution exposure for Algonquin's peers. It is also important to highlight that Algonquin has historically grown its rate base faster than peers3, and we believe it has the opportunity to continue to grow faster than peers as a result of its unique global footprint of small-to-medium scale utilities. In other words, we believe the remaining regulated utility business, once the unregulated business is sold, should be highly attractive to public market investors.

Algonquin's valuation has been hampered by a number of factors, most notably excessive leverage and a high dividend payout ratio. Algonquin's high payout ratio, its recent dividend cut, its high proportion of unregulated assets, and scars from the recently-abandoned Kentucky Power deal have all combined to make Algonquin uninvestible for a large portion of traditional utility investors.

Fortunately, we believe these problems can be solved through a sale of all or a majority of the Renewable Energy Group. Pro forma for such a sale, we believe Algonquin would have lower leverage, a safer dividend, a greener asset base, and higher rate base growth than peers, and should be afforded a higher valuation.

As discussed, while there is tremendous upside to a sale of the Renewable Energy Group, it is critical that it be done in the right way and executed skillfully. Most importantly, the process should be driven by objectives for what Algonquin should look like following a divestiture of the Renewable Energy Group. In particular, we believe your key objectives should be:

Reduce leverage to industry-standard levels of approximately 5x gross leverage4. Once target leverage levels have been achieved, excess proceeds should be used to repurchase shares of Algonquin to drive EPS accretion.
Improve EPS as much as possible, so that the dividend payout ratio is in-line with peers, with room for increases. As we have discussed, we believe a target of 75 cents in FY 2025 EPS5 is achievable.
In our view, the best path to achieving these objectives is through a sale of the substantial majority of Algonquin's renewables assets, including the Company's ~42% stake in Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure PLC ("Atlantica"). This could entail a sale of the entire Renewable Energy Group as a whole, or multiple transactions for the majority of the unregulated renewables assets, while keeping certain assets that have strategic value and would allow the Company to achieve even higher pro forma EPS, with an even greener asset base and a higher growth profile. In either case, the Company would receive a substantial influx of cash with which to pay down debt and repurchase shares. Algonquin would become, what we view as, a best-in-class mid-sized utility with a highly attractive financial profile where the significant majority of earnings come from stable, regulated businesses.

While the immediate priority is untangling the Company's unregulated renewables business in a manner that creates substantial value for shareholders, a close second is ensuring that shareholders can realize the potential of Algonquin's extremely valuable Water Utility. Pro forma for a renewables sale, approximately 20% of Algonquin's asset base will be from its Water Utility, making it one of the only companies in its peer group with any water reclamation and distribution exposure. Water utilities generally trade at massive premiums to Electric/Gas utilities. As such, we would expect Algonquin, with its Water Utility, to trade at a premium to other regulated utilities. If it does not, Algonquin has the opportunity to create substantial additional value through a separation of the Water Utility business. For example, if, following the sale of the Renewable Energy Group, Algonquin were to also sell its Water Utility and use the majority of the proceeds to repurchase shares, we believe that it could increase pro forma EPS to nearly 90 cents6. Even after selling the Water Utility, Algonquin would still be greener than the majority of its peers, since its peers on average contain no water distribution exposure and get 26% of their electric power from coal. The Water Utility is a hidden gem within Algonquin's portfolio, and its value should not be overlooked.

We look forward to continuing our discussions in order to ensure that maximum value is created for all Algonquin shareholders.

Sincerely,
Jeffrey C. Smith
Managing Member
Starboard Value LP

***

About Starboard Value LP

Starboard Value LP is a New York-based investment adviser with a focused and differentiated fundamental approach to investing primarily in publicly traded U.S. companies. Starboard invests in deeply undervalued companies and actively engages with management teams and boards of directors to identify and execute on opportunities to unlock value for the benefit of all shareholders. Learn more at www.starboardvalue.com.

Contacts

For Investors:

Peter Feld, [phone]
Gavin Molinelli, [phone]
www.starboardvalue.com

1 Regulated utility peer group includes AEE, AEP, CMS, CNP, CU, D, DTE, DUK, ED, EMA, ES, FTS, H, LNT, NEE, PNW, SO, SR, SRE, WEC, and XEL. Starboard has identified the aforementioned peers as the relevant peer set. Starboard believes these peers provide appropriate peer comparisons and align with the Company's self-selected peer set. This determination is subject to a certain degree of subjectivity. As the full universe of potential peers is not listed here, the comparisons made herein may differ materially if other firms had been included.

2 Water utility peer group includes ARTNA, AWK, AWR, CWCO, CWT, GWRS, MSEX, SJW, WTRG, and YORW. Starboard has identified the aforementioned peers as the relevant peer set for comparing AQN's regulated water utility business. Starboard believes these peers provide appropriate peer comparisons. This determination is subject to a certain degree of subjectivity. As the full universe of potential peers is not listed here, the comparisons made herein may differ materially if other firms had been included.

3 Organic growth of 8% from FY2017 to FY2022 vs. regulated utility peer median of 7%.

4 As we have discussed, investors and ratings agencies will consider a number of factors in determining the Company's credit quality, including FFO / Debt and the mix of regulated assets. We use Gross Debt / EBITDA as a proxy for leverage levels when comparing across the peer group, but the Company will need to determine the right pro forma debt level while considering all of these factors in conjunction with rating agency requirements.

5 EPS estimate is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and incorporates certain assumptions. Such information and assumptions could turn out to be inaccurate. Starboard's estimate included here is based on several data points.

6 EPS estimate is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and incorporates certain assumptions. Such information and assumptions could turn out to be inaccurate. Starboard's estimate included here is based on several data points.

SOURCE Starboard Value LP

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/starboard-sends-letter-to-algonquin-power--utilities-regarding-opportunities-to-enhance-shareholder-value-301871169.html