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Lowjack

11/09/22 2:11 AM

#432 RE: Brokemillwright #431

With the Macro view and what occurs when the FED raises interest rates when the economy has not had a chance to repair itself. Same setup as 2008, any company that was not mindful of debt to equity position of >20% and did not maintain a liquidity cushion was in danger. This same principal should be applied to personal finances as well. The closer you get to the end of the business cycle(usually 7 years) you better be paid off and reducing expenses or you'll be in trouble. Now is not yet the time to be buying assets as the price is still elevated.

Yes I read the financials, the question is can they get more for the properties than what they owe in debt. With the current financing environment and liquidity crunch, there is a short list of buyers and none are looking to overpay. Lenders may also just declare them in default and take the property.

Being a millwright you should be aware of the switch from building homes to building retail(remodel) that occurs in this period(usually). I suspect that this will not be as smooth a transition as in past cycles. Plenty of disaster rebuilding to do if they can find the materials. Might be why Industrials have been slightly stronger as of late. We need to have a solution to the energy problem by Feb. or inflation will only get worse.

wshaw14

11/09/22 5:09 PM

#434 RE: Brokemillwright #431

I think them selling discounted shares bringing the OS to a billion was a clue. I am with you however I did buy a bunch of shares (gamble). There is value there, it just has to be unlocked . My gamble is that someone will want it.