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jwood9207

09/20/21 5:50 PM

#95407 RE: Joe Stocks #95403

My understanding of a "Lehman moment" is the fact that Lehman declared bankruptcy and entered into liquidation. Lehman was not a large player in the sense that it represented a large fraction of GDP, but it was a large player in the sense of the shock it delivered to the system.

Evergrande is a large player, and is much larger than Lehman compared to China's GDP. But unless China decides to let them go, it's not a Lehman moment.

I don't think China will let that happen.

That said, I wouldn't buy their bonds, even at a 90% discount. But I wouldn't buy anything based in China. No respect for private property.

highwaymap

09/20/21 9:16 PM

#95417 RE: Joe Stocks #95403

Its more like an Enron Moment if you are talking about that chinese company to the chinese economy. Its a huge loss but not a catastophic one.