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Replies to #7228 on The Black Box

WinLoseOrDraw

10/24/03 9:03 PM

#7229 RE: wahz #7228

add in the multiple gaps waiting above and i'm a little confused about your "bafflement". i'll happily take a solid pattern over a near-miss on longterm moving averages.

almost feel like there is something else on your mind...?

ljk

10/25/03 5:19 AM

#7246 RE: wahz #7228

Motley Fool is recommending JDSU:

http://www.fool.com/news/take/2003/take031024.htm

Time to Buy JDS Uniphase?

Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse, it does. But it's not over yet.

JDS Uniphase (Nasdaq: JDSU) reported first-quarter sales down 8% sequentially and 24% year over year to $147 million. Not only was that at the low end of estimates, the company forecast a second-quarter sales decline to between $140 million and $150 million. This from a company that in early 2001 approached $1 billion in quarterly sales.

But here's the key: Revenues at the core communications products group seem to have stabilized.

Following an astonishing decline, sales of communications products over the past four quarters have come in at $75 million, $74 million, $76 million, and $74 million, respectively. It's the company's lower-margin thin film business that has taken the hit of late, falling from $94 million in the March quarter to $73 million this quarter.

The gist is that the company is really in pretty decent shape.

Not only doesn't the communications business appear to be getting any worse, a global realignment program has cut headcount from 29,000 in March 2001 to a mere 5,200 today, helping minimize cash burn. Cash flow breakeven is down from $250 million in July 2002 to $200 million in the current quarter.

In the meantime, JDS sits on $1.16 billion in cash. Clearly, the company is in a position to wait out the communications nuclear winter.

If there's a time to buy its shares, this might be it.