I do not believe markets are heavily manipulated, even silver. Maybe silver is to some degree i do not now but so much is written about Morgan, etc....but as a whole, I think markets can only stay "manipulated" for very short periods of time. Low volume small stocks but the market is kind of like water in a boat; it will move quickly to the lowest point (bad analogy); if markets are being artificially held up or pushed down, or even a stock, a contrary pressure will exist which seeks to exploit the artificiality, the vacuum.
I think the stock market is fair, even gold and silver
I do not ever expect silver and gold not to move together. I know silver has many industrial uses maybe 50% or slightly more of overall demand but I dunno. Gold has actually outperformed silver breaking out of its all time high a few months ago. I would have thought silver would have been in the mid 30s. I think they will always move in the same direction consistently.
The general markets are terribly overvalued. We gotta get a serious move down here in the next several months.
It is doubtful that there will be significant tax-loss selling of any sector which has meaningful gains in 2020. Usually investors sell shares with losses. It is true that many people piled into precious metals near their July-August peaks, and therefore many have modest losses, but I would not expect this to be a significant factor.
A more important issue would be that the U.S. dollar may have started rebounding on December 4, 2020 from a 40-month bottom. If the U.S. dollar keeps climbing then that would probably be negative for GDX and GDXJ. I would also expect that we will get meaningful outflows at a true bottom in the gdx and gdxj; maybe that is happening now. There is no question there were massive outflows of the commodities gld and slv but who knows if that is meaningful at all. sometimes it is.
In general stocks of all kinds are dangerously overbought and overpriced with heavy insider selling. I think we will get a much better buying opportunity at some point over the next several months.
In general I would expect more spending and inflation if Democrats can win both Senate seats, but very shortly the market might not be happy if they have all branches of government...
I am looking for rockiness here the next several months, but there is a strong seasonal bias for stocks at the same time. Something is gonna give big here with this election stuff. I can see the current man using the military options, there NUMEROUS hints he is prepared to do so, which would upset equities perhaps. He has tweeted yesterday a threat to those certifying fraud elections, and one thing Trump does generally is keep his word. promises made, promises kept. he has also a major intelligence report due the 18th on foreign interference and i think i is gonna be a dandy, and he just signed yet another EO in which he has set up a new military chain of command eliminating the chair of the joint chief which is a very good thing given who this man is, but also tells me this is more proof the military is very serious about these, the largest crimes in u.s history. Trump is preparing. He does not play around, he is not a politician. Mike Flynn is now helping him and Flynn is perhaps the most respected man in the entire u.s. military, and he is calling for heads to roll bit time. The other generals will take their lead to some degree from flynn but they are furious as well.
The generals and admirals take the oath of allegiance dead seriously. There is a barely concealed major hatred and war between military vs. the federal corrupt agencies and also a culture war there too
Who knows, it is hard to make an argument to be out of the market this time of year, but values scare me and slv will generally move with the market,
until it doesn't
who knows
If I knew I would be cheering my team.
as my son would say, is it all useless information?
One thing clear to me is that the Director of National Intelligence and Military Intelligence is all over what has happened, while the oligarchs and their corporations and media are pretending it did not happen. He is required by law to protect our elections and he is going to move on this, soon.........
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